Litvinov vs Mountfield HK prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 41% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonHradec Kraloveodds down 2.40Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO3.5odds down 1.28Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostLitvinov +1.5odds up 1.26Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonHradec Kraloveodds down 1.88Confidence 54%
- Double chanceWonHradec Kralove or drawodds down 1.47Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonHradec Kraloveodds down 1.82Confidence 55%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.40Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.17Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–222%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Jan 29, 2026: Litvinov 3, Mountfield HK 6.
- Dec 26, 2025: Mountfield HK 2, Litvinov 3.
- Nov 2, 2025: Litvinov 1, Mountfield HK 3.
- Sep 26, 2025: Mountfield HK 2, Litvinov 0.
- Jan 26, 2025: Mountfield HK 3, Litvinov 2, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–2 at Mlada Boleslav, Oct 11. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.17, Litvinov 2.77.
- Win, 3–1 against Olomouc, Oct 9. Odds: Litvinov 1.79, Olomouc 3.45.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Kladno, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–3 at Trinec, Oct 2.
- Win, 5–4 against Liberec, after a shootout, Sep 29.
- Win, 3–1 against Olomouc, Oct 11. Odds: Hradec Kralove 1.56, Olomouc 4.60.
- Loss, 2–5 at Trinec, Oct 9. Odds: Trinec 1.63, Hradec Kralove 4.10.
- Win, 3–2 against Vitkovice, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–3 at Kladno, after a shootout, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–3 against Sparta Prague, Sep 29.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-2
- 03:21 2 min Mountfield HK: Perret J. Slashing
- 05:21 Goal PPG Litvinov: Svozil S. assists: Moravcik M., Sukel M. 1-0
- 08:15 2 min Mountfield HK: Pavlik R. Interference
- 12:30 2 min Litvinov: Svozil S. Holding the stick
- 13:39 Goal PPG Mountfield HK: Radil L. assists: Tamasi A., Jergl A. 1-1
- 18:57 Goal Mountfield HK: Tamasi A. assists: Perret J. 1-2
2nd period0-0
- 09:14 2 min Mountfield HK: Kousal R. High sticking
- 09:14 2 min Litvinov: Balaz O. Holding
- 12:46 2 min Mountfield HK: Pavlik R. Holding
3rd period0-2
- 06:18 Goal Mountfield HK: Radil L. assists: Vukojevic M. 1-3
- 09:29 2 min Mountfield HK: Mudrak D. Tripping
- 18:23 Goal ENG Mountfield HK: Perret J. assists: Jergl A. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Cajan P. for Litvinov (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts), Skorvanek S. for Mountfield HK (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Mountfield HK.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Mountfield HK.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
- 11th vs 9th in the Extraliga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIT) | 2.70 | 2.70 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.65 | 3.65 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (MOU) | 2.02 | 2.02 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap LIT | +0.5 | +0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Litvinov host Mountfield HK in the Extraliga on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.