Litvinov vs Plzen prediction
Chance to win · 34% and 43% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostPlzenodds down 2.31Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO3.5odds up 1.32Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonLitvinov +1.5odds up 1.29Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostPlzenodds down 1.78Confidence 56%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostPlzen or drawodds down 1.43Confidence 68%
- Draw no betLostPlzenodds down 1.75Confidence 53%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.15Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds up 2.32Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.61Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min2–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–024%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 1, 2026: Plzen 3, Litvinov 2.
- Jan 2, 2026: Litvinov 1, Plzen 8.
- Nov 20, 2025: Plzen 7, Litvinov 2.
- Oct 3, 2025: Litvinov 1, Plzen 2.
- Jan 28, 2025: Litvinov 2, Plzen 5.
Last five games
- Win, 3–1 against Karlovy Vary, Oct 18. Odds: Litvinov 2.65, Karlovy Vary 2.00.
- Loss, 1–4 against Mountfield HK, Oct 15. Odds: Litvinov 2.70, Hradec Kralove 2.02.
- Loss, 1–2 at Mlada Boleslav, Oct 11. Odds: Mlada Boleslav 2.17, Litvinov 2.77.
- Win, 3–1 against Olomouc, Oct 9. Odds: Litvinov 1.79, Olomouc 3.45.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Kladno, after overtime, Oct 4.
- Win, 6–5 against Vitkovice, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Plzen 1.60, Vitkovice 3.80.
- Loss, 0–2 against Sparta Prague, Oct 16. Odds: Plzen 2.40, Sparta Prague 2.54.
- Win, 6–3 at SaiPa, Oct 14. Odds: SaiPa 1.57, Plzen 4.26.
- Win, 2–1 at Kometa Brno, after overtime, Oct 11. Odds: Kometa Brno 2.20, Plzen 2.75.
- Win, 4–1 against Ceske Budejovice, Oct 8.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 09:02 2 min Plzen: Teply M. Tripping
- 14:34 2 min Plzen: Lalancette C. High sticking
2nd period0-0
- 12:28 2 min Plzen: Chromiak J. Tripping
- 15:59 2 min Plzen: Filip M. Roughing
- 15:59 2 min Litvinov: Urban T. Roughing
3rd period2-0
- 00:32 Goal Litvinov: Kampf D. assists: Kase D., Kase O. 1-0
- 01:29 2 min Plzen: Schleiss J. Tripping
- 04:17 Goal Litvinov: Urban T. assists: Havelka M., Jurcik O. 2-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Plzen.
- In goal: Tomek M. for Litvinov (2-8-0 in the last 10 starts), Ruzicka J. for Plzen (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Litvinov −0.5, Plzen +0.6 over their recent games.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Plzen.
- 6.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LIT) | 2.90 | 2.90 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PLZ) | 2.11 | 2.11 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap LIT | +1.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Extraliga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 1.219 | 64 | 38 | +26 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 64 | 43 | +21 | |
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 30 | .882 | 53 | 49 | +4 | |
| 4 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 28 | .824 | 41 | 33 | +8 | |
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .765 | 45 | 47 | −2 | |
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | .735 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 7 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 25 | .735 | 44 | 42 | +2 | |
| 8 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | .750 | 44 | 43 | +1 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 42 | +1 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | .750 | 43 | 43 | 0 | |
| 11 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 21 | .618 | 36 | 45 | −9 | |
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 17 | .500 | 35 | 57 | −22 | |
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .533 | 37 | 49 | −12 | |
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 13 | .382 | 32 | 55 | −23 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Litvinov host Plzen in the Extraliga on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.