Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Cherepovets prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 30% in regulation
Isayev D.StartedSV 91.1% · GAA 1.70 · 6-4-0
Samoilov A.StartedSV 93.4% · GAA 1.90 · 7-2-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonLokomotivodds up 1.72Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.25Confidence 77%
- HandicapWonCherepovets +2.5odds down 1.25Confidence 74%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLokomotivodds up 1.42Confidence 60%
- Double chanceWonLokomotiv or draw1.25Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonLokomotivodds up 1.37Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds up 1.14Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.63Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Lokomotiv 3–1
Cherepovets Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min1–06%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–025%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals1st · 1 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-0
- Likeliest 3-1 (6%), 2-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formLokomotiv Yaroslavl
Cherepovets
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv 3–2
Cherepovets - Oct 15, 2026: Cherepovets 5, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2.
- Sep 10, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2, Cherepovets 1, after overtime.
- Mar 9, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 4, Cherepovets 3, after overtime.
- Mar 2, 2026: Cherepovets 2, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 3, after a shootout.
- Nov 28, 2025: Cherepovets 2, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 0.
Last five games
Lokomotiv
3-2-0 - Win, 2–1 against Dynamo Moscow, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.73, Dynamo Moscow 4.10.
- Loss, 0–1 against Niznekamsk, Oct 20. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.66, Niznekamsk 4.50.
- Win, 6–3 at Sochi, Oct 17. Odds: Sochi 6.30, Lokomotiv 1.43.
- Loss, 2–5 at Cherepovets, Oct 15. Odds: Cherepovets 3.25, Lokomotiv 1.94.
- Win, 6–1 against Dinamo Minsk, Oct 10. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.77, Dinamo Minsk 3.80.
Cherepovets
3-2-0 - Loss, 1–3 at Spartak Moscow, Oct 23. Odds: Spartak Moscow 1.93, Cherepovets 3.32.
- Loss, 1–5 against Shanghai, Oct 21. Odds: Cherepovets 2.02, Shanghai 3.12.
- Win, 4–1 against Nizhny Novgorod, Oct 19. Odds: Cherepovets 2.30, Nizhny Novgorod 2.67.
- Win, 5–2 against Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Oct 15. Odds: Cherepovets 3.25, Lokomotiv 1.94.
- Win, 2–0 against SKA St. Petersburg, Oct 13. Odds: Cherepovets 2.50, SKA 2.31.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 10:56 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Pustovoy A. Tripping
- 14:57 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Yelesin A. assists: Alexeyev D., Polunin A. 1-0
- 15:28 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Ivanov G. Tripping
- 19:47 2 min Cherepovets: Gregoire T. Holding
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period0-0
- 03:57 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Sergeyev A.
- 03:57 2 min Cherepovets: Yan D. Slashing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Isayev D. for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (6-4-0 in the last 10 starts), Samoilov A. for Cherepovets (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 7-2-0 at home for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl.
- Save % gap: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 90.5%, Cherepovets 93.0% over their recent games.
- 4.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LOK) | 1.86 | 1.88 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.88 | 3.86 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (CHE) | 3.64 | 3.58 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap LOK | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Tarasov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Moscow |
24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl |
24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 3 | Cherepovets |
25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 |
| 4 |  Shanghai |
23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 |
| 5 |  Dinamo Minsk |
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 |
| 6 |  Dynamo Moscow |
26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl host Cherepovets in the KHL on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.