Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Sochi prediction
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 6–, Sochi 2
FT
Puck drop 12:00 ET
1X2 odds up 1.371X2 7.60
Arena-2000 Lokomotiv (Yaroslavl) · RussiaArena-2000 Lokomotiv (Yaroslavl)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
LOK
1
3
2
SOC
0
2
0
79%Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win · 68% in regulationLOK
Overtime or shootout · 18%OT / SO 18%
21%Sochi win · 14% in regulationSOC
Chance to win · 68% and 14% in regulation
Melnichuk A.StartedSV 90.5% · GAA 2.10 · 8-2-0
Shaimardanov D.StartedSV 90.4% · GAA 3.30 · 3-6-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Handicap
Lost
Sochi +3.5
odds down 1.30
Confidence64%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonLokomotivodds up 1.31Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.33Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostSochi +3.5odds down 1.30Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLokomotiv1.16Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonLokomotiv or draw1.05Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonLokomotivodds down 1.11Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.27Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonLokomotiv1.83Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.75Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Lokomotiv 4–1
Sochi
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 8
Draw after 60 minDraw
18%
Decided in regulation
LOK to winTo win
79%
LOK won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min6–28%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–023%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals2nd · 5 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 2-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 3-1 (6%), 2-1 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Sochi
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Sochi
Season recordLokomotiv Yaroslavl 14-5-0Sochi 6-13-0
Home / road splitLokomotiv Yaroslavl 8-2-0Sochi 3-5-0
StreakLokomotiv Yaroslavl W2Sochi W3
RestLokomotiv Yaroslavl 3 daysSochi 1 day
Goals forLokomotiv Yaroslavl 2.6Sochi 1.7
Goals againstLokomotiv Yaroslavl 1.7Sochi 3.5
In the standingsLokomotiv Yaroslavl 2ndSochi 10th
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameLokomotiv Yaroslavl +1.0Sochi −1.0
Goals forLokomotiv Yaroslavl 2.7Sochi 2.5
Goals againstLokomotiv Yaroslavl 1.7Sochi 3.5
Shots on goalLokomotiv Yaroslavl 29.9Sochi 27.1
Shots againstLokomotiv Yaroslavl 20.6Sochi 32.9
Shooting %Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 9.0%Sochi 9.2%
Save %Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 92.2%Sochi 89.7%
Power-play %Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 18.2%Sochi 24.1%
Penalty kill %Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 85.7%Sochi 80.0%
Faceoff %Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 57.4%Sochi 48.9%
Penalty minutesLokomotiv Yaroslavl 8.7Sochi 9.3
HitsLokomotiv Yaroslavl 22.6Sochi 25.3
Blocked shotsLokomotiv Yaroslavl 18.6Sochi 10.9
Per game · LOK at home, SOC away
Goal differential per gameLokomotiv Yaroslavl +1.1Sochi −1.5
Goals forLokomotiv Yaroslavl 2.4Sochi 1.4
Goals againstLokomotiv Yaroslavl 1.3Sochi 2.9
Shots on goalLokomotiv Yaroslavl 33.5Sochi 26.9
Shots againstLokomotiv Yaroslavl 22.8Sochi 29.0
Shooting %Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 7.2%Sochi 5.2%
Save %Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 94.3%Sochi 90.7%
Power-play %Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 25.0%Sochi 12.2%
Penalty kill %Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 90.3%Sochi 82.1%
Faceoff %Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 59.2%Sochi 45.2%
Penalty minutesLokomotiv Yaroslavl 6.2Sochi 8.1
HitsLokomotiv Yaroslavl 23.4Sochi 16.7
Blocked shotsLokomotiv Yaroslavl 19.1Sochi 15.8
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Lokomotiv 5–0
Sochi
Goals a gameGoals
5.0
LOK 3.8 · SOC 1.2
Over 4.5 goalsOver 4.5
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
1 of 5
1 in overtime
- Oct 17, 2026: Sochi 3, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 6.
- Mar 4, 2026: Sochi 2, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 3.
- Feb 14, 2026: Sochi 1, Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 2, after overtime.
- Feb 1, 2026: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 3, Sochi 0.
- Sep 22, 2025: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 5, Sochi 0.
Last five games
Lokomotiv
3-2-0 - Win, 1–0 against Cherepovets, Oct 25. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.88, Cherepovets 3.58.
- Win, 2–1 against Dynamo Moscow, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.73, Dynamo Moscow 4.10.
- Loss, 0–1 against Niznekamsk, Oct 20. Odds: Lokomotiv 1.66, Niznekamsk 4.50.
- Win, 6–3 at Sochi, Oct 17. Odds: Sochi 6.30, Lokomotiv 1.43.
- Loss, 2–5 at Cherepovets, Oct 15. Odds: Cherepovets 3.25, Lokomotiv 1.94.
Sochi
3-2-0 - Win, 2–1 at Salavat Ufa, Oct 27. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.53, Sochi 5.91.
- Win, 4–3 at Lada, Oct 25. Odds: Lada 2.21, Sochi 2.78.
- Win, 3–2 against Dinamo Minsk, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: Sochi 4.00, Dinamo Minsk 1.69.
- Loss, 2–5 against Shanghai, Oct 19. Odds: Sochi 3.30, Shanghai 1.92.
- Loss, 3–6 against Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Oct 17. Odds: Sochi 6.30, Lokomotiv 1.43.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 07:45 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Bereglazov A. assists: Polunin A., Pustovoy A. 1-0
- 14:52 5 min Sochi: Baldayev V. Illegal check to the head
- 18:30 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Sergeyev A. Boarding
- 19:10 2 min Sochi: Graham J. Holding
2nd period3-2
- 01:22 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Fiore G. assists: Alexeyev D. 2-0
- 06:28 Goal Sochi: Belyakov Y. assists: Guskov M., Gusev N. 2-1
- 10:13 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Kotkov M. assists: Sergeyev A., Ivanov G. 3-1
- 10:40 2 min Sochi: Belyakov Y. Cross checking
- 11:52 Goal PPG Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Yemelyanov K. assists: Rafikov R., Fiore G. 4-1
- 11:52 Goalie change Sochi: Shchetilin A. replaces Shaimardanov D.
- 18:02 Goal Sochi: Gizdatullin A. assists: Petukhov Y., Vengryzhanovsky D. 4-2
3rd period2-0
- 06:11 2 min Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Alexeyev D. Hooking
- 10:41 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Yemelyanov K. assists: Rafikov R., Fiore G. 5-2
- 11:05 2 min Sochi: Nikolayev I. Tripping
- 15:51 Goal Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Kotkov M. assists: Surin Y., Ivanov G. 6-2
- 15:51 Goalie change Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Kazantsev Y. replaces Melnichuk A.
- 19:38 2 min Sochi: Graham J. Tripping
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Sochi coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, 1 for Sochi.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl.
- In goal: Melnichuk A. for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl (8-2-0 in the last 10 starts), Shaimardanov D. for Sochi (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 8-2-0 at home for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LOK) | 1.32 | 1.37 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.80 | 4.75 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (SOC) | 7.60 | 7.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap LOK | −2.5 | −1.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  CSKA Moscow |
24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 37 | .771 | 78 | 45 | +33 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Yaroslavl |
24 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 35 | .729 | 64 | 39 | +25 |
| 3 |  Nizhny Novgorod |
23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 31 | .674 | 64 | 51 | +13 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow |
25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .600 | 66 | 56 | +10 |
| 5 |  Cherepovets |
25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 30 | .600 | 59 | 57 | +2 |
| 6 |  Shanghai |
23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 30 | .652 | 68 | 59 | +9 |
| 7 |  SKA St. Petersburg |
23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 72 | 68 | +4 |
| 8 |  Dinamo Minsk |
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 25 | .500 | 60 | 74 | −14 |
| 9 |  Dynamo Moscow |
26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 25 | .481 | 56 | 68 | −12 |
| 10 | Sochi |
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 16 | .333 | 42 | 81 | −39 |
| 11 |  Lada |
25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | .300 | 38 | 81 | −43 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl host Sochi in the KHL on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.