London Knights vs Saginaw Spirit prediction
Chance to win · 53% and 27% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonLondonodds up 1.71Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.43Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostSaginaw +1.5odds down 1.67Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLondonodds up 1.43Confidence 64%
- Double chanceWonLondon or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 73%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betWonLondonodds up 1.39Confidence 68%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.04Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostLondonodds up 2.15Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.62Confidence 60%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 3% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min5–32%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 6 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Feb 7, 2026: Saginaw Spirit 3, London Knights 5.
- Dec 12, 2025: London Knights 5, Saginaw Spirit 3.
- Nov 29, 2025: Saginaw Spirit 5, London Knights 8.
- Nov 28, 2025: London Knights 2, Saginaw Spirit 4.
- Mar 14, 2025: London Knights 3, Saginaw Spirit 1.
Last five games
- Win, 5–4 at Soo Greyhounds, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 2.50, London 2.30.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Sudbury Wolves, after overtime, Oct 30. Odds: Sudbury 2.75, London 2.15.
- Win, 5–4 at North Bay Battalion, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: North Bay 3.20, London 1.91.
- Loss, 1–5 at Owen Sound Attack, Oct 24. Odds: Owen Sound 4.33, London 1.62.
- Win, 6–4 against Sarnia Sting, Oct 23. Odds: London 1.78, Sarnia 3.45.
- Loss, 3–5 against Guelph Storm, Oct 31. Odds: Saginaw 4.60, Guelph 1.53.
- Loss, 0–2 against Barrie Colts, Oct 30. Odds: Saginaw 1.53, Barrie 4.60.
- Loss, 2–5 at Soo Greyhounds, Oct 28. Odds: Sault Ste Marie 2.05, Saginaw 2.70.
- Loss, 2–6 at Flint Firebirds, Oct 24. Odds: Flint 2.00, Saginaw 2.88.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Flint Firebirds, after a shootout, Oct 23. Odds: Saginaw 2.07, Flint 2.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-0
- 05:55 Goal London Knights: van Gorp E. assists: Leet B., Mitchell C. 1-0
- 09:35 Goal PPG London Knights: Brown R. assists: Zocco T., Piiparinen J. 2-0
3rd period3-3
- 00:38 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Wassilyn B. assists: Klepov N., Harper L. 2-1
- 07:08 Goal Saginaw Spirit: Schmidt S. assists: Leenders H., Khotkov G. 2-2
- 11:30 Goal London Knights: Harmer C. assists: Piiparinen J., Brown R. 3-2
- 16:19 Goal PPG Saginaw Spirit: Cloutier J. assists: Zhilkin D., Wassilyn B. 3-3
- 17:25 Goal London Knights: Harmer C. assists: Cover J., Piiparinen J. 4-3
- 18:38 Goal ENG London Knights: Bidgood C. assists: McAslan C. 5-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Saginaw Spirit coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Saginaw Spirit dropped from 2.67 to 2.35 since they were first published.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for London Knights.
- 7.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 4th vs 8th in the OHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LON) | 1.58 | 1.98 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.10 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (SAG) | 4.10 | 2.95 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap LON | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 | |
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 | |
| 4 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 | |
| 5 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 | |
| 6 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 | |
| 7 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 | |
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 | |
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 | |
| 10 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
London Knights host Saginaw Spirit in the OHL on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.