London Knights vs Sarnia Sting prediction
Chance to win · 57% and 24% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2WonLondonodds up 1.48Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderWonO5.51.33Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostSarnia +1.5odds down 1.93Confidence 54%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLondonodds up 1.27Confidence 70%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonLondon or drawodds up 1.15Confidence 92%
- Draw no betWonLondonodds up 1.23Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.05Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostLondonodds up 1.93Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.55Confidence 61%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
London 4–3
Sarnia Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min6–42%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–210%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonLondon Knights
Sarnia Sting
Head-to-head
London 2–3
Sarnia - Nov 8, 2026: Sarnia Sting 4, London Knights 2.
- Oct 21, 2026: Sarnia Sting 6, London Knights 4.
- Jan 23, 2026: London Knights 3, Sarnia Sting 2, after overtime.
- Jan 16, 2026: Sarnia Sting 1, London Knights 4.
- Dec 31, 2025: London Knights 1, Sarnia Sting 5.
Last five games
London
3-1-1 - Loss, 4–6 at Sarnia Sting, Oct 21. Odds: Sarnia 2.87, London 1.98.
- Win, 7–1 at Erie Otters, Oct 17. Odds: Erie 3.26, London 1.80.
- Win, 4–1 against Sudbury Wolves, Oct 16. Odds: London 2.18, Sudbury 2.51.
- Win, 4–3 at Kitchener Rangers, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Kitchener 2.73, London 2.11.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Erie Otters, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: London 1.32, Erie 6.30.
Sarnia
1-4-0 - Win, 6–4 against London Knights, Oct 21. Odds: Sarnia 2.87, London 1.98.
- Loss, 4–7 at Saginaw Spirit, Oct 17. Odds: Saginaw 1.60, Sarnia 3.78.
- Loss, 2–9 against Saginaw Spirit, Oct 16. Odds: Sarnia 2.61, Saginaw 2.07.
- Loss, 2–5 against Guelph Storm, Oct 14. Odds: Sarnia 4.95, Guelph 1.46.
- Loss, 4–6 at Flint Firebirds, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-2
- 02:16 Goal Sarnia Sting: Aucoin K. assists: Holmes P., Gaughan C. 0-1
- 12:29 Goal London Knights: Bidgood C. assists: Harmer C., Piiparinen J. 1-1
- 12:58 Goal London Knights: Zocco T. assists: Nordmark M. 2-1
- 14:33 Goal Sarnia Sting: Van Volsen J. assists: Sgro A., Lammens B. 2-2
2nd period1-1
- 12:09 Goal PPG Sarnia Sting: Katolicky S. assists: Walos E., Aucoin C. 2-3
- 16:40 Goal London Knights: Bidgood C. assists: Zakharov M., Zocco T. 3-3
3rd period3-1
- 04:19 Goal London Knights: Piiparinen J. assists: Bidgood C., Brown R. 4-3
- 04:37 Goal London Knights: Zocco T. assists: Nordmark M., Wood C. 5-3
- 07:38 Goal London Knights: Barch K. assists: Cover J., Campeau A. 6-3
- 17:59 Goal PPG Sarnia Sting: Challenger T. assists: Walos E., Aucoin C. 6-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Sarnia Sting dropped from 3.30 to 2.55 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Sarnia Sting.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Sarnia Sting.
- 6.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 7.
- 4th vs 9th in the OHL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LON) | 1.77 | 1.78 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.60 | 4.20 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (SAR) | 3.60 | 3.45 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 7 | Line raised |
| Handicap LON | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guelph Storm |
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 |
| 2 |  Soo Greyhounds |
21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 26 | .619 | 70 | 69 | +1 |
| 3 |  Windsor Spitfires |
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 25 | .658 | 72 | 58 | +14 |
| 4 | London Knights |
17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 |
| 5 |  Flint Firebirds |
17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 23 | .676 | 64 | 50 | +14 |
| 6 |  Kitchener Rangers |
19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 |
| 7 |  Erie Otters |
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 |
| 8 |  Saginaw Spirit |
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 70 | 68 | +2 |
| 9 | Sarnia Sting |
20 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 17 | .425 | 76 | 84 | −8 |
| 10 |  Owen Sound Attack |
19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
London Knights host Sarnia Sting in the OHL on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.