London Knights vs Sudbury Wolves prediction
Chance to win · 39% and 40% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostSudburyodds down 3.15Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds up 1.28Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostSudbury +1.5odds down 1.55Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostSudburyodds down 2.37Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostSudbury or drawodds down 1.73Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostSudburyodds down 2.46Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.06Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSudburyodds down 3.15Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.72Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–5After 60 min4–13%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–06%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-5
- By period 0-2, 1-2, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-5 (3%), 1-4 (3%), 2-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 30, 2026: Sudbury Wolves 4, London Knights 3, after overtime.
- Feb 22, 2026: London Knights 4, Sudbury Wolves 2.
- Nov 21, 2025: Sudbury Wolves 6, London Knights 3.
- Jan 24, 2025: Sudbury Wolves 2, London Knights 5.
- Jan 19, 2025: London Knights 8, Sudbury Wolves 1.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 at Kitchener Rangers, after a shootout, Oct 13. Odds: Kitchener 2.73, London 2.11.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Erie Otters, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: London 1.32, Erie 6.30.
- Loss, 2–7 against Flint Firebirds, Oct 4.
- Win, 4–1 against North Bay Battalion, Oct 2.
- Win, 7–4 against Owen Sound Attack, Sep 25.
- Win, 6–2 at Windsor Spitfires, Oct 15. Odds: Windsor 2.76, Sudbury 2.11.
- Win, 7–3 against Peterborough Petes, Oct 9. Odds: Sudbury 1.90, Peterborough 3.00.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at North Bay Battalion, after overtime, Oct 8.
- Win, 7–1 against Niagara IceDogs, Oct 2.
- Win, 4–2 against Brampton Steelheads, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 18:00 Goal London Knights: Nordmark M. assists: Cover J. 1-0
2nd period1-0
- 17:29 Goal London Knights: Bidgood C. assists: McAslan C. 2-0
3rd period2-1
- 03:23 Goal London Knights: Cover J. assists: Nordmark M., Zocco T. 3-0
- 08:38 Goal Sudbury Wolves: Nemec A. assists: Lemieux J., Chovan J. 3-1
- 17:36 Goal ENG London Knights: McAslan C. assists: Nordmark M., Cover J. 4-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for Sudbury Wolves, who played yesterday.
- Odds moved: the odds on Sudbury Wolves dropped from 2.32 to 1.95 since they were first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for London Knights.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Sudbury Wolves.
- 7.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LON) | 2.04 | 2.18 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.10 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SUD) | 2.75 | 2.51 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6 | 6.5 | Line raised |
| Handicap LON | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
OHL standings
Regular Season · Midwest Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 30 | .833 | 81 | 53 | +28 | |
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | .706 | 71 | 59 | +12 | |
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 23 | .605 | 61 | 56 | +5 | |
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 22 | .579 | 60 | 65 | −5 | |
| 5 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 15 | .395 | 49 | 78 | −29 |
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .711 | 76 | 53 | +23 | |
| 2 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .500 | 50 | 64 | −14 | |
| 3 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 15 | .395 | 68 | 79 | −11 | |
| 4 | 19 | 4 | 13 | 2 | 10 | .263 | 52 | 83 | −31 | |
| 5 | 19 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 9 | .237 | 41 | 73 | −32 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
London Knights host Sudbury Wolves in the OHL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.