Lugano vs Bern Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under

U6.5 1.35

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 65%

Full game

1X2Luganoodds down 2.27Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderU6.5odds down 1.35Confidence 70%
HandicapBern +1.5odds down 1.30Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)Luganoodds up 1.81Confidence 58%
Double chanceLugano or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 69%
Draw no betLuganoodds up 1.78Confidence 60%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yesodds up 1.12Confidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2Drawodds up 2.63Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderU2.5odds down 1.20Confidence 78%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Lugano 32

Bern

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 5 Line 5.5 · Under

Draw after 60 minDraw 23%

LUG to winTo win 57% 45% in regulation

Score details

Correct score3–24%chance
1st period correct score0–020%chance
Highest scoring period3rd period30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record7-9-29-5-3

Home / road split4-3-15-2-1

StreakL1L1

Rest10 days10 days

Goals for3.22.7

Goals against3.42.8

In the standings12th6th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.8+0.1

Goals for2.62.5

Goals against3.42.4

Shots on goal31.130.5

Shots against29.327.8

Shooting %8.4%8.2%

Save %88.4%91.4%

Power-play %13.2%11.4%

Penalty kill %78.4%76.3%

Faceoff %51.1%51.3%

Penalty minutes7.38.4

Blocked shots15.012.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Lugano 32

Bern

Lugano won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.0 LUG 2.4 · BER 1.6

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 0 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Oct 25, 2026: Bern 2, Lugano 1, after overtime.
Jan 16, 2026: Bern 1, Lugano 4.
Dec 7, 2025: Lugano 3, Bern 1.
Oct 24, 2025: Bern 1, Lugano 4.
Sep 23, 2025: Lugano 0, Bern 3.

Last five games

Lugano 1-3-1

Loss, 3–4 at Ambri-Piotta, Oct 31. Odds: Ambri-Piotta 2.30, Lugano 2.50.
Win, 4–0 against Lausanne, Oct 29. Odds: Lugano 2.20, Lausanne 2.65.
Loss, 2–7 at Zug, Oct 27. Odds: Zug 1.77, Lugano 3.60.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Bern, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Bern 1.80, Lugano 3.50.
Loss, 2–5 against EHC Kloten, Oct 23. Odds: Lugano 1.46, Kloten 5.00.

Bern 3-2-0

Loss, 1–8 against Zug, Oct 31. Odds: Bern 2.25, Zug 2.60.
Win, 4–1 at Ajoie, Oct 30. Odds: Ajoie 3.10, Bern 2.05.
Loss, 1–4 against Zurich, Oct 27. Odds: Bern 2.70, Zurich 2.11.
Win, 2–1 against Lugano, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Bern 1.80, Lugano 3.50.
Win, 4–1 at Davos, Oct 23. Odds: Davos 1.87, Bern 3.30.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lugano.
1-3-1 in the last five for Lugano.
Save % gap: Lugano 88.4%, Bern 91.4% over their recent games.
4.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
12th vs 6th in the National League standings.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (LUG)	2.31	2.31	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.19	4.19	No change
1X2: 2 (BER)	2.66	2.66	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap LUG	−1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
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Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Lugano vs Bern prediction