Lugano vs Davos Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.41

Confidence70%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Full game

1X2LostLuganoodds down 2.20Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.41Confidence 70%
HandicapWonDavos +1.5odds up 1.34Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)LostLuganoodds down 1.76Confidence 59%
Double chanceLostLugano or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 69%
Draw no betLostLuganoodds down 1.72Confidence 61%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.08Confidence 87%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonLuganoodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.24Confidence 76%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Lugano 32

Davos

Final 2–3

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

LUG to winTo win 58% DAV won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–34%chance
1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–017%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record5-4-14-6-1

Home / road split3-1-11-4-0

StreakW1L5

Rest5 days1 day

Goals for3.72.5

Goals against3.32.8

In the standings12th10th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+0.4−0.2

Goals for3.72.1

Goals against3.32.3

Shots on goal30.829.1

Shots against25.030.0

Shooting %12.0%7.2%

Save %87.2%92.7%

Power-play %18.4%10.3%

Penalty kill %77.8%93.8%

Faceoff %52.5%52.8%

Penalty minutes9.08.1

Blocked shots16.416.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Lugano 14

Davos

Davos won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.6 LUG 2.2 · DAV 3.4

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Jan 24, 2026: Lugano 1, Davos 4.
Dec 20, 2025: Davos 5, Lugano 4.
Oct 16, 2025: Lugano 0, Davos 3.
Sep 20, 2025: Davos 2, Lugano 0.
Jan 17, 2025: Lugano 6, Davos 3.

Last five games

Lugano 3-1-1

Win, 4–2 at Biel, Oct 10. Odds: Biel 2.27, Lugano 2.52.
Overtime loss, 2–3 against Zurich, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Lugano 3.15, Zurich 1.83.
Win, 5–2 at Lausanne, Oct 7.
Loss, 4–5 at Ajoie, Oct 4.
Win, 5–2 against Rapperswil-Jona, Oct 2.

Davos 0-5-0

Loss, 0–2 against Liberec, Oct 14. Odds: Davos 1.71, Liberec 3.74.
Loss, 2–3 at Servette, Oct 10. Odds: Servette 2.42, Davos 2.42.
Loss, 1–4 against EHC Kloten, Oct 9. Odds: Davos 1.52, Kloten 4.80.
Loss, 2–3 at Rögle, Oct 6.
Loss, 3–4 at Biel, Oct 3.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

07:11 2 min Lugano: Peltonen J. Cross checking
14:11 2 min Davos: Jager K. Roughing
16:47 2 min Davos: Allard F. Tripping
17:14 Goal PPG Lugano: Innala J. assists: Alatalo S., Shore N. 1-0

2nd period0-3

04:38 Goal Davos: Kessler T. assists: Parree J. 1-1
06:56 Goal Davos: Zadina F. assists: Andersson C., Aeschlimann S. 1-2
16:06 Goal Davos: Allard F. assists: Corvi E., Zadina F. 1-3
19:14 2 min Davos: Jung S. Tripping

3rd period1-0

06:51 Goal Lugano: Thurkauf C. 2-3
15:18 2 min Davos: Parree J. Slashing

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

5-game losing streak for Davos coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on Lugano dropped from 1.77 to 1.55 since they were first published.
Rest advantage: 5 days off for Lugano, 1 for Davos.
1-4-0 away for Davos this season.
In goal: Mayer R. for Lugano (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Aeschlimann S. for Davos (3-5-2 in the last 10 starts).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (LUG)	2.09	2.09	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.17	4.17	No change
1X2: 2 (DAV)	2.92	2.92	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap LUG	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
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Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Lugano vs Davos prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details