Lugano vs EHC Kloten prediction
Chance to win · 62% and 19% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2LostLugano1.51Confidence 64%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.40Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostLugano -0.5odds down 1.50Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostLuganoodds up 1.30Confidence 72%
- Double chanceLostLugano or drawodds up 1.17Confidence 80%
- Draw no betLostLuganoodds up 1.24Confidence 76%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.12Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostLuganoodds up 2.04Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.24Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–57%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–320%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (5%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 18, 2026: EHC Kloten 5, Lugano 2.
- Mar 7, 2026: EHC Kloten 2, Lugano 1, after overtime.
- Dec 5, 2025: Lugano 4, EHC Kloten 1.
- Nov 14, 2025: EHC Kloten 1, Lugano 2.
- Oct 5, 2025: Lugano 5, EHC Kloten 4, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Win, 5–2 at Servette, Oct 20. Odds: Servette 2.22, Lugano 2.35.
- Loss, 1–6 at Fribourg, Oct 17. Odds: Fribourg 1.78, Lugano 3.05.
- Loss, 2–3 against Davos, Oct 16. Odds: Lugano 2.09, Davos 2.92.
- Win, 4–2 at Biel, Oct 10. Odds: Biel 2.27, Lugano 2.52.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Zurich, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Lugano 3.15, Zurich 1.83.
- Win, 4–3 against Lausanne, Oct 20. Odds: Kloten 3.45, Lausanne 1.70.
- Loss, 2–5 at Lausanne, Oct 17. Odds: Lausanne 1.50, Kloten 4.20.
- Loss, 0–5 against Ambri-Piotta, Oct 16. Odds: Kloten 2.35, Ambri-Piotta 2.57.
- Loss, 1–3 against Zug, Oct 11. Odds: Kloten 2.67, Zug 2.20.
- Win, 4–1 at Davos, Oct 9. Odds: Davos 1.52, Kloten 4.80.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-3
- 00:21 Goal EHC Kloten: Puhakka P. assists: Aberg P., Ruotsalainen A. 0-1
- 01:04 Goal Lugano: Lycksell O. assists: Fazzini L. 1-1
- 01:23 Goal EHC Kloten: Meyer D. assists: Henry J. 1-2
- 04:05 2 min EHC Kloten: Luoto J. Tripping
- 11:44 2 min Lugano: Sanford Z. Tripping
- 12:24 Goal PPG EHC Kloten: Puhakka P. assists: Ruotsalainen A., Lindroth M. 1-3
2nd period1-2
- 04:47 Goal EHC Kloten: Meyer D. 1-4
- 07:08 2 min EHC Kloten: Lindroth M. Holding
- 10:50 Goal Lugano: Kupari R. assists: Innala J. 2-4
- 18:43 Goal EHC Kloten: Lindroth M. assists: Ramel M. 2-5
3rd period0-0
- 00:23 2 min Lugano: Innala J. High sticking
- 00:23 2 min EHC Kloten: Liniger E. Delay of game
- 09:51 2 min EHC Kloten: Sidler D. Interference
- 13:21 2 min Lugano: Henry C. High sticking
- 17:39 2 min EHC Kloten: Ruotsalainen A. Elbowing
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Mayer R. for Lugano (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Fadani D. for EHC Kloten (2-6-2 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.4 per game — Lugano 0.0, EHC Kloten −2.4 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lugano.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 12th vs 14th in the National League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LUG) | 1.46 | 1.46 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.50 | 5.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KLO) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap LUG | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
National League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 47 | 1.306 | 75 | 38 | +37 | |
| 2 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 57 | 53 | +4 | |
| 3 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 32 | .842 | 49 | 55 | −6 | |
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29 | .763 | 66 | 56 | +10 | |
| 5 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 1.077 | 49 | 27 | +22 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | .824 | 46 | 47 | −1 | |
| 7 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | .750 | 57 | 44 | +13 | |
| 8 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 26 | .650 | 59 | 69 | −10 | |
| 9 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .658 | 58 | 64 | −6 | |
| 10 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 24 | .632 | 45 | 55 | −10 | |
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 23 | .639 | 57 | 60 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 22 | .611 | 56 | 62 | −6 | |
| 13 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 19 | .500 | 50 | 69 | −19 | |
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 18 | .474 | 44 | 69 | −25 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lugano host EHC Kloten in the National League on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.