Lugano vs Lausanne Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

Lugano or draw 1.45

Confidence68%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%

Full game

1X2WonLuganoodds up 2.25Confidence 51%
Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.50Confidence 71%
HandicapLostLausanne +1.5odds down 1.34Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)WonLuganoodds up 1.80Confidence 58%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonLugano or drawodds up 1.45Confidence 68%
Draw no betWonLuganoodds up 1.72Confidence 61%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.10Confidence 88%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonLuganoodds up 2.63Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.85Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 6% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Lugano 32

Lausanne

Final 4–0

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 4

Draw after 60 minDraw 22% Decided in regulation

LUG to winTo win 58% LUG won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–04%chance
1st period correct scoreWon2–01st period2–07%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record6-8-28-9-1

Home / road split3-3-12-6-1

StreakL3L1

Rest1 day1 day

Goals for3.13.1

Goals against3.63.5

In the standings12th8th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.9−0.4

Goals for2.83.0

Goals against3.73.4

Shots on goal31.628.2

Shots against27.931.3

Shooting %8.9%10.6%

Save %86.7%89.8%

Power-play %18.4%12.5%

Penalty kill %72.5%83.3%

Faceoff %51.5%49.6%

Penalty minutes7.912.4

Blocked shots16.412.3

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Lugano 32

Lausanne

Lugano won three of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 6.8 LUG 4.0 · LAU 2.8

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 4 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 0 of 5 All decided in regulation

Oct 7, 2026: Lausanne 2, Lugano 5.
Feb 28, 2026: Lugano 1, Lausanne 4.
Jan 7, 2026: Lausanne 2, Lugano 5.
Oct 18, 2025: Lausanne 1, Lugano 5.
Sep 26, 2025: Lugano 4, Lausanne 5.

Last five games

Lugano 1-3-1

Loss, 2–7 at Zug, Oct 27. Odds: Zug 1.77, Lugano 3.60.
Overtime loss, 1–2 at Bern, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Bern 1.80, Lugano 3.50.
Loss, 2–5 against EHC Kloten, Oct 23. Odds: Lugano 1.46, Kloten 5.00.
Win, 5–2 at Servette, Oct 20. Odds: Servette 2.22, Lugano 2.35.
Loss, 1–6 at Fribourg, Oct 17. Odds: Fribourg 1.78, Lugano 3.05.

Lausanne 2-3-0

Loss, 3–9 against Langnau Tigers, Oct 27. Odds: Lausanne 1.95, Langnau 3.10.
Win, 2–0 against Fribourg, Oct 24. Odds: Lausanne 2.36, Fribourg 2.40.
Loss, 1–4 at Zug, Oct 23. Odds: Zug 1.91, Lausanne 3.10.
Loss, 3–4 at EHC Kloten, Oct 20. Odds: Kloten 3.45, Lausanne 1.70.
Win, 5–2 against EHC Kloten, Oct 17. Odds: Lausanne 1.50, Kloten 4.20.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period2-0

03:52 Goal Lugano: Fazzini L. 1-0
07:23 2 min Lausanne: Caggiula D. Roughing
13:53 2 min Lugano: Maurer M. Boarding
18:15 Goal Lugano: Lycksell O. assists: Muller M., Fazzini L. 2-0

2nd period2-0

03:37 2 min Lausanne: Holdener M. Head butting
06:38 Goal Lugano: Fazzini L. 3-0
10:32 Goal Lugano: Sanford Z. assists: Kupari R. 4-0
12:49 2 min Lugano: Thomson L. Holding
18:55 2 min Lausanne: Riat D. Roughing

3rd period0-0

06:47 2 min Lugano: Tanner R. Slashing
09:19 2 min Lausanne: Fuhrer L. Tripping
17:13 2 min Lausanne: Carrick C. Roughing

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

3-game losing streak for Lugano coming into this game.
2-6-1 away for Lausanne this season.
In goal: Schlegel N. for Lugano (4-5-1 in the last 10 starts), Pasche K. for Lausanne (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lugano.
Save % gap: Lugano 86.7%, Lausanne 89.8% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (LUG)	2.55	2.20	Shortened
1X2: X (draw)	4.30	4.30	No change
1X2: 2 (LAU)	2.25	2.65	Drifted
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap LUG	+1.5	−0.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

National League standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Zurich	18	17	1	0	47	1.306	75	38	+37
2	Ambri-Piotta	18	11	5	2	33	.917	57	53	+4
3	Servette	19	11	6	2	32	.842	49	55	−6
4	Langnau Tigers	19	9	7	3	29	.763	66	56	+10
5	Zug	13	9	3	1	28	1.077	49	27	+22
6	Bern	17	9	5	3	28	.824	46	47	−1
7	Fribourg	18	9	7	2	27	.750	57	44	+13
8	Lausanne	20	9	10	1	26	.650	59	69	−10
9	Ajoie	19	9	8	2	25	.658	58	64	−6
10	Davos	19	8	9	2	24	.632	45	55	−10
11	Biel	18	7	9	2	23	.639	57	60	−3
12	Lugano	18	7	9	2	22	.611	56	62	−6
13	Rapperswil-Jona	19	6	10	3	19	.500	50	69	−19
14	EHC Kloten	19	6	12	1	18	.474	44	69	−25

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Promotion - Playoffs
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Lugano vs Lausanne prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details