Lukko U20 vs Pelicans Lahti U20 prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 40% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonPelicans U202.35Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.51.59Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonPelicans U20 +1.51.29Confidence 71%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonPelicans U201.82Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonPelicans U20 or draw1.42Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonPelicans U20Confidence 52%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDraw2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min0–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon0–01st period0–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 1 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-0, 0-2, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 16, 2026: Lukko U20 0, Pelicans Lahti U20 3.
- Sep 20, 2025: Pelicans Lahti U20 2, Lukko U20 1.
- Feb 1, 2025: Lukko U20 5, Pelicans Lahti U20 4.
- Dec 13, 2024: Pelicans Lahti U20 2, Lukko U20 3.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–4 at Assat U20, Oct 23. Odds: Assat U20 3.80, Lukko U20 1.62.
- Win, 3–2 at Hameenlinna U20, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: HPK U20 1.62, Lukko U20 3.60.
- Win, 5–0 against KooKoo U20, Oct 16. Odds: Lukko U20 1.50, KooKoo U20 4.55.
- Win, 4–1 at Ilves U20, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–4 against RoKi U20, Oct 9. Odds: Lukko U20 1.15, RoKi U20 10.00.
- Win, 4–3 against SaiPa U20, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Pelicans U20 1.30, SaiPa U20 6.70.
- Win, 2–0 at Jokerit U20, Oct 16. Odds: Jokerit U20 2.50, Pelicans U20 2.18.
- Win, 5–2 against Ilves U20, Oct 14. Odds: Pelicans U20 1.67, Ilves U20 3.45.
- Win, 6–3 against KooKoo U20, Oct 11.
- Win, 5–2 at SaiPa U20, Oct 10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Lukko U20 and Pelicans Lahti U20 played yesterday.
- 5-game winning streak for Pelicans Lahti U20 coming into this game.
- 4-1-0 at home for Lukko U20 this season.
- 5-1-0 away for Pelicans Lahti U20 this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Lukko U20.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LUK) | 2.35 | 2.35 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.82 | 3.95 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (PLU) | 2.38 | 2.35 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 5 | Line raised |
| Handicap LUK | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SM-sarja U20 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 1.083 | 64 | 39 | +25 | |
| 2 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 36 | 1.059 | 58 | 40 | +18 | |
| 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 36 | .947 | 69 | 55 | +14 | |
| 4 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | .917 | 54 | 52 | +2 | |
| 5 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 31 | .861 | 72 | 52 | +20 | |
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 29 | .853 | 52 | 56 | −4 | |
| 7 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 28 | .875 | 47 | 37 | +10 | |
| 8 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | .964 | 56 | 36 | +20 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | .844 | 48 | 49 | −1 | |
| 10 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 26 | .722 | 58 | 49 | +9 | |
| 11 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 24 | .750 | 58 | 63 | −5 | |
| 12 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 22 | .688 | 51 | 55 | −4 | |
| 13 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 62 | 59 | +3 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | .656 | 54 | 59 | −5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .656 | 51 | 58 | −7 | |
| 16 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 15 | .469 | 41 | 55 | −14 | |
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 11 | .324 | 35 | 63 | −28 | |
| 18 | 18 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 41 | 94 | −53 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lukko U20 host Pelicans Lahti U20 in the SM-sarja U20 on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.