Lukko vs IFK Helsinki Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.34

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Full game

1X2LostLukkoodds down 1.72Confidence 58%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.51.34Confidence 72%
HandicapWonHIFK +1.5odds up 1.62Confidence 63%
Winner (incl. OT)WonLukko1.43Confidence 70%
Double chanceWonLukko or draw1.23Confidence 79%
Draw no betPushLukkoodds down 1.36Confidence 73%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.13Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostLukkoodds down 2.27Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5odds up 1.20Confidence 79%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Lukko 32

HIFK

Final 3–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Went to a shootout

LUK to winTo win 68% LUK won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period1–220%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record9-4-14-6-3

Home / road split3-4-01-4-1

StreakW2L2

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for2.62.7

Goals against2.03.5

In the standings1st11th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.2−0.5

Goals for2.82.8

Goals against1.63.3

Shots on goal24.821.5

Shots against22.227.3

Shooting %11.3%13.0%

Save %93.2%88.3%

Power-play %14.8%25.0%

Penalty kill %83.3%76.2%

Faceoff %46.0%49.9%

Penalty minutes6.913.4

Blocked shots9.47.7

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Lukko 41

HIFK

Lukko won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.4 LUK 3.8 · HEL 1.6

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 19, 2026: IFK Helsinki 2, Lukko 3, after overtime.
Feb 13, 2026: IFK Helsinki 0, Lukko 4.
Jan 30, 2026: Lukko 6, IFK Helsinki 2.
Nov 26, 2025: Lukko 1, IFK Helsinki 3.
Sep 17, 2025: IFK Helsinki 1, Lukko 5.

Last five games

Lukko 3-1-1

Win, 3–1 against Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 17. Odds: Lukko 2.01, Kiekko-Espoo 3.21.
Win, 2–1 at Tappara, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara 1.88, Lukko 3.65.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at JYP, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: JYP 2.32, Lukko 2.75.
Win, 5–1 at Ilves, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves 1.98, Lukko 3.20.
Loss, 2–5 against Assat, Oct 3.

HIFK 2-1-2

Loss, 1–7 at SaiPa, Oct 17. Odds: SaiPa 1.83, HIFK 3.68.
Overtime loss, 3–4 against TPS Turku, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: HIFK 2.95, TPS 2.13.
Win, 6–1 against KalPa, Oct 10.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Jokerit, after overtime, Oct 8.
Win, 3–2 at Vaasan Sport, after overtime, Oct 3.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-2

00:25 2 min IFK Helsinki: Pakarinen I. Holding
03:52 2 min IFK Helsinki: Nassen L. Slashing
04:48 Goal SHG IFK Helsinki: Vanhatalo L. 0-1
08:05 2 min Lukko: Viitasalo N. Unsportsmanlike conduct
14:16 2 min Lukko: Tukiainen J. Slashing
15:01 Goal PPG IFK Helsinki: Pakarinen I. assists: Vanhatalo L., Makiaho D. 0-2
15:29 2 min IFK Helsinki: Somervuori J. Tripping
17:41 Goal Lukko: Haapanen T. assists: Vanninen A. 1-2

2nd period0-0

08:04 2 min Lukko: Seppala P. Holding
19:42 2 min IFK Helsinki: Ahlroth J. Tripping

3rd period1-0

14:20 Goal Lukko: Robert F. assists: Saarela A., Viitasalo N. 2-2

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout1-0

Round 1 Tuuva L. scored Liukas E. missed
Round 2 Robert F. missed Makiaho D. missed
Round 3 Ruohomaa M. missed Ranta S. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

1-4-1 away for IFK Helsinki this season.
In goal: Salonen D. for Lukko (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts), Glifford O. for IFK Helsinki (1-7-2 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.7 per game — Lukko +1.2, IFK Helsinki −0.5 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Lukko.
Save % gap: Lukko 93.2%, IFK Helsinki 88.3% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (LUK)	1.62	1.62	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.10	4.10	No change
1X2: 2 (HEL)	3.55	3.55	No change
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap LUK	−0.5	−1.5	Line moved

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Lukko vs IFK Helsinki prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details