Lukko vs KalPa Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under

O3.5 1.29

Confidence72%

All predictions

9 picks · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2Lukkoodds up 1.87Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderO3.51.29Confidence 72%
HandicapKalPa +1.5odds down 1.47Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)Lukkoodds up 1.53Confidence 61%
Double chanceLukko or draw1.27Confidence 71%
Draw no betLukkoodds up 1.45Confidence 62%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)Yes1.14Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2Draw2.50Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderU1.5odds up 1.66Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Lukko 32

KalPa

Predicted score

Total goalsTotal 5 Line 5.0 · On the line

Draw after 60 minDraw 23%

LUK to winTo win 59% 46% in regulation

Score details

Correct score3–24%chance
1st period correct score0–023%chance
Highest scoring period3rd period30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%)

Predicted team stats

The brighter bar is the bigger figure

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record14-4-18-9-2

Home / road split6-4-02-5-2

StreakW7L2

Rest11 days1 day

Goals for2.82.5

Goals against1.92.3

In the standings1st12th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.10.0

Goals for2.92.4

Goals against1.82.4

Shots on goal22.822.9

Shots against25.622.8

Shooting %12.7%10.5%

Save %93.4%90.4%

Power-play %3.6%20.7%

Penalty kill %91.7%84.8%

Faceoff %48.4%48.8%

Penalty minutes6.96.6

Blocked shots9.48.1

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Lukko 41

KalPa

Lukko won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 7.0 LUK 3.8 · KAL 3.2

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 3 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in overtime

Sep 26, 2026: KalPa 1, Lukko 2.
Mar 17, 2026: Lukko 6, KalPa 5, after overtime.
Nov 22, 2025: KalPa 6, Lukko 2.
Dec 18, 2024: Lukko 5, KalPa 3.
Dec 13, 2024: KalPa 1, Lukko 4.

Last five games

Lukko 5-0-0

Win, 3–1 against KooKoo, Oct 30. Odds: Lukko 1.44, KooKoo 5.00.
Win, 4–3 at Jukurit, after a shootout, Oct 28. Odds: Jukurit 3.00, Lukko 2.10.
Win, 3–1 at TPS Turku, Oct 24. Odds: TPS 1.91, Lukko 3.20.
Win, 4–1 against TPS Turku, Oct 23. Odds: Lukko 2.20, TPS 2.65.
Win, 3–2 against IFK Helsinki, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Lukko 1.62, HIFK 3.55.

KalPa 3-1-1

Overtime loss, 2–3 at TPS Turku, after overtime, Nov 9. Odds: TPS 2.00, KalPa 3.12.
Loss, 0–1 at Ilves, Oct 31. Odds: Ilves 1.81, KalPa 3.50.
Win, 4–1 against Jokerit, Oct 30. Odds: KalPa 2.25, Jokerit 2.50.
Win, 5–2 against Vaasan Sport, Oct 27. Odds: KalPa 1.91, Vaasan Sport 3.20.
Win, 5–1 at Karpat, Oct 24. Odds: Karpat 1.86, KalPa 3.30.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Key insights

7-game winning streak for Lukko coming into this game.
2-5-2 away for KalPa this season.
Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Lukko +1.1, KalPa 0.0 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Lukko.
Save % gap: Lukko 93.4%, KalPa 90.4% over their recent games.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (LUK)	1.84	1.84	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.20	4.20	No change
1X2: 2 (KAL)	3.58	3.58	No change
Over/Under line	4.5	5	Line raised
Handicap LUK	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Lukko vs KalPa prediction