Lukko vs Kiekko-Espoo prediction
Chance to win · 42% and 34% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonLukkoodds down 2.04Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.51.32Confidence 75%
- HandicapLostKiekko-Espoo +1.5odds up 1.39Confidence 68%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLukkoodds down 1.65Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonLukko or draw1.34Confidence 68%
- Draw no betWonLukkoodds down 1.57Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.13Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds up 2.47Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.51.73Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min3–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period2–023%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 11, 2026: Lukko 1, Kiekko-Espoo 2, after a shootout.
- Feb 18, 2026: Kiekko-Espoo 2, Lukko 3, after overtime.
- Sep 27, 2025: Lukko 3, Kiekko-Espoo 2, after a shootout.
- Sep 26, 2025: Kiekko-Espoo 4, Lukko 2.
- Jan 22, 2025: Kiekko-Espoo 2, Lukko 4.
Last five games
- Win, 2–1 at Tappara, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara 1.88, Lukko 3.65.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at JYP, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: JYP 2.32, Lukko 2.75.
- Win, 5–1 at Ilves, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves 1.98, Lukko 3.20.
- Loss, 2–5 against Assat, Oct 3.
- Win, 3–0 at Assat, Oct 2.
- Loss, 2–4 at TPS Turku, Oct 16. Odds: TPS 2.19, Kiekko-Espoo 2.91.
- Win, 6–1 against JYP, Oct 9. Odds: Kiekko-Espoo 2.02, JYP 3.05.
- Overtime loss, 7–8 at Karpat, after overtime, Oct 7.
- Loss, 4–6 at Ilves, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–3 against Karpat, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period2-0
- 09:27 Goal Lukko: Robert F. assists: Valila A., Saarela A. 1-0
- 10:23 Goal Lukko: Tuuva L. assists: Haapanen T., Krannila J. 2-0
- 15:10 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Sallinen J. Slashing
- 15:13 2 min Lukko: Tuuva L. Tripping
2nd period0-0
- 00:29 2 min Lukko: Ruohomaa M. Tripping
3rd period1-1
- 06:20 Goal Kiekko-Espoo: Vaisanen J. assists: King C., Oberg L. 2-1
- 16:04 2 min Kiekko-Espoo: Lajunen V. Tripping
- 17:53 Goal PPG Lukko: Krannila J. assists: Robert F., Valila A. 3-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Lukko and Kiekko-Espoo played yesterday.
- 1-3-3 away for Kiekko-Espoo this season.
- In goal: Salonen D. for Lukko (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Rimpinen P. for Kiekko-Espoo (6-2-2 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Lukko.
- 1-3-1 in the last five for Kiekko-Espoo.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LUK) | 2.01 | 2.01 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.84 | 3.84 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (KIE) | 3.21 | 3.21 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap LUK | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Liiga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 1.053 | 53 | 36 | +17 | |
| 2 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 37 | .925 | 52 | 39 | +13 | |
| 3 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 36 | .900 | 49 | 40 | +9 | |
| 4 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 35 | 1.029 | 59 | 48 | +11 | |
| 5 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 34 | .850 | 46 | 48 | −2 | |
| 6 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 34 | .944 | 52 | 38 | +14 | |
| 7 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 33 | .825 | 53 | 52 | +1 | |
| 8 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | .816 | 53 | 48 | +5 | |
| 9 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 31 | .775 | 61 | 49 | +12 | |
| 10 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 28 | .737 | 51 | 46 | +5 | |
| 11 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | .711 | 53 | 56 | −3 | |
| 12 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .694 | 46 | 41 | +5 | |
| 13 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 24 | .706 | 40 | 38 | +2 | |
| 14 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 0 | 24 | .600 | 42 | 55 | −13 | |
| 15 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | .528 | 33 | 53 | −20 | |
| 16 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 15 | .417 | 41 | 62 | −21 | |
| 17 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 10 | .250 | 46 | 81 | −35 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lukko host Kiekko-Espoo in the Liiga on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.