Lukko vs TPS Turku Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

U6.5 1.30

Confidence75%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2WonLukkoodds up 2.17Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.30Confidence 75%
HandicapLostTPS +1.5odds up 1.34Confidence 66%
Winner (incl. OT)WonLukkoodds up 1.70Confidence 55%
Double chanceWonLukko or drawodds up 1.39Confidence 65%
Draw no betWonLukkoodds up 1.66Confidence 56%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.55Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.73Confidence 57%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 7% since they opened; the odds drifted 6% since they opened; the odds drifted 4% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Lukko 21

TPS

Final 4–1

Total goalsTotal 3 Actual 5

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Decided in regulation

LUK to winTo win 58% LUK won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min4–14%chance
1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–023%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-1
By period 0-0, 1-0, 1-1
Likeliest 2-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record10-4-19-5-1

Home / road split4-4-03-4-1

StreakW3W4

Rest2 days2 days

Goals for2.63.0

Goals against2.02.3

In the standings1st8th

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game+1.1+0.4

Goals for2.72.9

Goals against1.62.5

Shots on goal23.725.7

Shots against23.920.2

Shooting %11.4%11.3%

Save %93.7%88.6%

Power-play %11.5%17.5%

Penalty kill %87.0%87.9%

Faceoff %47.1%48.7%

Penalty minutes6.76.6

Blocked shots9.813.4

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Lukko 41

TPS

Lukko won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 5.0 LUK 2.8 · TUR 2.2

Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Oct 24, 2026: TPS Turku 1, Lukko 3.
Mar 4, 2026: TPS Turku 3, Lukko 4, after a shootout.
Feb 6, 2026: Lukko 3, TPS Turku 2.
Dec 5, 2025: Lukko 4, TPS Turku 2.
Sep 13, 2025: TPS Turku 3, Lukko 0.

Last five games

Lukko 4-0-1

Win, 3–2 against IFK Helsinki, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Lukko 1.62, HIFK 3.55.
Win, 3–1 against Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 17. Odds: Lukko 2.01, Kiekko-Espoo 3.21.
Win, 2–1 at Tappara, Oct 16. Odds: Tappara 1.88, Lukko 3.65.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at JYP, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: JYP 2.32, Lukko 2.75.
Win, 5–1 at Ilves, Oct 9. Odds: Ilves 1.98, Lukko 3.20.

TPS 4-0-1

Win, 4–3 against Ilves, Oct 20. Odds: TPS 1.98, Ilves 2.77.
Win, 4–2 at Assat, Oct 17. Odds: Assat 2.40, TPS 2.61.
Win, 4–2 against Kiekko-Espoo, Oct 16. Odds: TPS 2.19, Kiekko-Espoo 2.91.
Win, 4–3 at IFK Helsinki, after a shootout, Oct 14. Odds: HIFK 2.95, TPS 2.13.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Tappara, after a shootout, Oct 10.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period1-0

00:50 Goal Lukko: Beaucage A. assists: Liedes H., Stenqvist J. 1-0

2nd period2-0

07:37 Goal Lukko: Saarela A. assists: Robert F., Saarela A. 2-0
07:52 2 min Lukko: Ikonen H. Hooking
13:36 2 min TPS Turku: Maatta J. Interference
18:18 Goal Lukko: Robert F. assists: Saarela A., Harpur C. 3-0

3rd period1-1

06:53 Goal Lukko: Olsson A. assists: Vanninen A., Saarela A. 4-0
12:44 2 min TPS Turku: Savinainen V. High sticking
14:44 2 min TPS Turku: Lindbohm P. Slashing
17:07 Goal TPS Turku: Bryggman L. assists: Haudum L., Wernblom L. 4-1
19:51 2 min Lukko: Krannila J. Roughing
19:51 2 min TPS Turku: Lehtonen S. Roughing

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

4-game winning streak for TPS Turku coming into this game.
3-game winning streak for Lukko coming into this game.
Odds moved: the odds on TPS Turku dropped from 2.32 to 2.07 since they were first published.
In goal: Raanta A. for Lukko (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Ruusu M. for TPS Turku (4-4-0 in the last 8 starts).
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Lukko.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (LUK)	2.20	2.20	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.25	4.00	Shortened
1X2: 2 (TUR)	2.55	2.65	Drifted
Over/Under line	5	5	No change
Handicap LUK	−0.5	−0.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Liiga standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Lukko	19	14	4	1	40	1.053	53	36	+17
2	Ilves	20	13	6	1	37	.925	52	39	+13
3	Jukurit	20	13	6	1	36	.900	49	40	+9
4	JYP	17	12	4	1	35	1.029	59	48	+11
5	Assat	20	11	7	2	34	.850	46	48	−2
6	SaiPa	18	12	5	1	34	.944	52	38	+14
7	Karpat	20	11	5	4	33	.825	53	52	+1
8	TPS Turku	19	10	7	2	31	.816	53	48	+5
9	Kiekko-Espoo	20	10	7	3	31	.775	61	49	+12
10	Tappara	19	9	7	3	28	.737	51	46	+5
11	IFK Helsinki	19	8	7	4	27	.711	53	56	−3
12	KalPa	18	8	9	1	25	.694	46	41	+5
13	Pelicans	17	8	8	1	24	.706	40	38	+2
14	Hameenlinna	20	9	11	0	24	.600	42	55	−13
15	Vaasan Sport	18	6	10	2	19	.528	33	53	−20
16	Jokerit	18	4	10	4	15	.417	41	62	−21
17	KooKoo	20	3	15	2	10	.250	46	81	−35

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Relegation

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Lukko vs TPS Turku prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details