Luleå vs Djurgarden prediction
Chance to win · 53% and 26% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2LostLuleaodds up 1.71Confidence 53%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.30Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonDjurgarden +2.5odds down 1.32Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostLuleaodds up 1.42Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonLulea or drawodds up 1.24Confidence 70%
- Draw no betPushLuleaodds up 1.36Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.14Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostLuleaodds up 2.23Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.71Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min2–25%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-1 (5%), 2-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Mar 7, 2026: Djurgarden 4, Luleå 1.
- Dec 30, 2025: Djurgarden 3, Luleå 4.
- Nov 13, 2025: Luleå 3, Djurgarden 2, after overtime.
- Sep 25, 2025: Luleå 2, Djurgarden 4.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–2 at Vaxjo, Oct 22. Odds: Vaxjo 1.96, Lulea 3.10.
- Win, 5–2 against HV 71, Oct 17. Odds: Lulea 1.78, HV71 3.10.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Farjestad, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Farjestad 1.71, Lulea 4.08.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Timrå, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Luleå 1.77, Timrå 3.90.
- Loss, 2–3 against Malmo, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–4 at Skellefteå, Oct 22. Odds: Skelleftea 1.44, Djurgarden 5.50.
- Loss, 2–6 at Frölunda, Oct 20. Odds: Frolunda 1.52, Djurgarden 4.05.
- Win, 3–2 against Malmo, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Djurgarden 2.18, Malmo 2.42.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Brynas, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Brynas 1.67, Djurgarden 4.47.
- Win, 5–1 against Linkoping, Oct 10. Odds: Djurgarden 2.12, Linkoping 2.80.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 10:45 2 min Luleå: Hakansson W. Roughing
- 10:45 2 min Djurgarden: Sissons C. Roughing
- 10:45 2 min Djurgarden: Brouillard N. Cross checking
2nd period1-1
- 02:09 2 min Djurgarden: Wahlstrom O. Slashing
- 08:02 Goal Djurgarden: Stockselius T. assists: Hartmann S., Vejdemo L. 0-1
- 10:44 2 min Luleå: Engsund O. Tripping
- 15:00 Goal Luleå: Nurmi M. assists: Brannstrom I., Koppanen J. 1-1
- 15:10 5 min Djurgarden: Stockselius T. Boarding
3rd period1-1
- 14:12 Goal Djurgarden: Brouillard N. assists: Sissons C., Salsten H. 1-2
- 14:12 2 min Djurgarden: — Delay of game
- 19:20 Goal Luleå: Tardif B. assists: Andreasson P., Sellgren J. 2-2
Overtime0-1
- 04:00 Goal Djurgarden: Hudon Ch. assists: Brouillard N., Snively J. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 0-4-2 away for Djurgarden this season.
- In goal: Lassinantti J. for Luleå (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts), Hellberg M. for Djurgarden (4-4-2 in the last 10 starts).
- +1.4 goals at home — Luleå averaged 3.2 at home and 1.8 away this season.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Luleå.
- Head-to-head level at 2-2 after the last 4 meetings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LUL) | 1.63 | 1.61 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (DJU) | 4.25 | 4.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap LUL | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Luleå host Djurgarden in the SHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.