Luleå vs Farjestad prediction
Chance to win · 49% and 29% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Full game
- 1X2WonLuleaodds down 1.59Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU5.5odds up 1.40Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonFarjestad +2.51.30Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLuleaodds up 1.35Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonLulea or draw1.19Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonLulea1.29Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.18Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.45Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds up 1.56Confidence 62%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 4% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 3% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Lulea 2–1
Farjestad Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–1After 60 min4–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–026%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-1
- By period 0-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-1 (6%), 3-1 (5%), 3-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonLuleå
Farjestad
Head-to-head
Lulea 5–0
Farjestad - Oct 11, 2026: Farjestad 1, Luleå 2.
- Dec 5, 2025: Luleå 3, Farjestad 0.
- Nov 30, 2025: Farjestad 0, Luleå 4.
- Oct 17, 2025: Luleå 10, Farjestad 2.
- Sep 12, 2025: Farjestad 0, Luleå 1.
Last five games
Lulea
3-2-0 - Win, 2–1 at Farjestad, Oct 11.
- Win, 1–0 at HV 71, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: HV71 4.30, Luleå 1.57.
- Loss, 1–5 against Brynas, Sep 26.
- Win, 4–3 at Skellefteå, Sep 20.
- Loss, 0–4 at MODO, Sep 17.
Farjestad
2-3-0 - Loss, 1–2 against Luleå, Oct 11.
- Loss, 0–4 against Frölunda, Oct 9. Odds: Farjestad 3.10, Frölunda 1.86.
- Loss, 0–1 against Linkoping, Sep 25.
- Win, 4–1 against HV 71, Sep 20.
- Win, 3–2 at Linkoping, Sep 17.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 07:24 Goal Luleå: Magwood J. assists: Lindeberg A., Hedqvist E. 1-0
2nd period2-2
- 01:12 Goal PPG Luleå: Magwood J. assists: Hiirikoski J., Chantler M. 2-0
- 02:30 Goal Farjestad: Gough J. assists: Furulund A. 2-1
- 03:32 Goal Luleå: Magwood J. assists: Hedqvist E., Hiirikoski J. 3-1
- 15:57 Goal Farjestad: Borrow A. 3-2
3rd period1-1
- 04:21 Goal Luleå: Chantler M. assists: Larsson E., Aneborn F. 4-2
- 16:40 Goal PPG Farjestad: Muren E. assists: Albinsson E. 4-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Farjestad coming into this game.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Luleå.
- 4.6 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
- 2nd vs 8th in the SDHL Women standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LUL) | 1.57 | 1.57 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.11 | 4.11 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (FAR) | 4.60 | 4.60 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 4.5 | 4.5 | No change |
| Handicap LUL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SDHL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brynas |
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1.500 | 30 | 5 | +25 |
| 2 | Lulea |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 18 | 22 | −4 |
| 3 |  Frolunda |
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 23 | 17 | +6 |
| 4 |  HV 71 |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | .813 | 21 | 17 | +4 |
| 5 |  SDE HF |
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | .714 | 11 | 12 | −1 |
| 6 |  Modo |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 21 | −3 |
| 7 |  Djurgarden |
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | .643 | 16 | 19 | −3 |
| 8 | Farjestad |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 17 | 21 | −4 |
| 9 |  Linkoping |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | .500 | 9 | 16 | −7 |
| 10 |  Skelleftea |
9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7 | .389 | 15 | 28 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Luleå host Farjestad in the SDHL Women on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.