Luleå vs Frölunda prediction
Chance to win · 35% and 42% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostFrolunda2.25Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU5.5odds down 1.37Confidence 70%
- HandicapWonLulea +1.51.27Confidence 69%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonFrolundaodds down 1.84Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonFrolunda or drawodds down 1.46Confidence 68%
- Draw no betPushFrolundaodds down 1.74Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.17Confidence 81%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDraw2.36Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.53Confidence 64%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 4% since they opened.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Lulea 1–2
Frolunda Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–2After 60 min3–35%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–127%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-2
- By period 0-0, 0-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 1-2 (6%), 2-3 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonLuleå
Frölunda
Head-to-head
Lulea 1–4
Frolunda - Jan 15, 2026: Frölunda 3, Luleå 0.
- Nov 22, 2025: Luleå 4, Frölunda 3, after overtime.
- Oct 12, 2025: Frölunda 3, Luleå 1.
- Sep 5, 2025: Luleå 1, Frölunda 2.
- Mar 16, 2025: Frölunda 3, Luleå 2.
Last five games
Lulea
4-1-0 - Win, 4–3 against Farjestad, Oct 14. Odds: Lulea 1.57, Farjestad 4.60.
- Win, 2–1 at Farjestad, Oct 11.
- Win, 1–0 at HV 71, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: HV71 4.30, Luleå 1.57.
- Loss, 1–5 against Brynas, Sep 26.
- Win, 4–3 at Skellefteå, Sep 20.
Frolunda
2-3-0 - Win, 4–0 at Farjestad, Oct 9. Odds: Farjestad 3.10, Frölunda 1.86.
- Loss, 0–2 against SDE HF, Sep 25.
- Loss, 1–4 at MODO, Sep 19.
- Loss, 0–3 against Brynas, Sep 16.
- Win, 5–2 against Farjestad, Sep 9.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 05:40 Goal Frölunda: Kandell T. assists: Leidt M., Johansson L. 0-1
2nd period2-1
- 07:03 Goal Frölunda: Nix E. assists: Pejzlova M., Leidt M. 0-2
- 11:51 Goal PPG Luleå: Hiirikoski J. assists: Chantler M., Sjolund W. 1-2
- 13:46 Goal Luleå: Sjolund W. assists: Nygren I., Stocker F. 2-2
3rd period1-1
- 11:43 Goal Frölunda: Olsson H. assists: Pejzlova M., Bergstrom P. 2-3
- 19:38 Goal Luleå: Sjolund W. assists: Donohue J., Magwood J. 3-3
Overtime0-1
- 03:13 Goal Frölunda: Rantala S. assists: Holopainen E., Leidt M. 3-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Luleå coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Frölunda dropped from 1.93 to 1.69 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Frölunda, 1 for Luleå.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Frölunda.
- 4.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 4.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LUL) | 2.96 | 2.77 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.62 | 3.59 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (FRO) | 2.06 | 2.18 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 4.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap LUL | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SDHL Women standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brynas |
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1.500 | 30 | 5 | +25 |
| 2 | Lulea |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 18 | 22 | −4 |
| 3 | Frolunda |
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 23 | 17 | +6 |
| 4 |  HV 71 |
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | .813 | 21 | 17 | +4 |
| 5 |  SDE HF |
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 10 | .714 | 11 | 12 | −1 |
| 6 |  Modo |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 21 | −3 |
| 7 |  Djurgarden |
7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | .643 | 16 | 19 | −3 |
| 8 |  Farjestad |
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 17 | 21 | −4 |
| 9 |  Linkoping |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | .500 | 9 | 16 | −7 |
| 10 |  Skelleftea |
9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7 | .389 | 15 | 28 | −13 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Luleå host Frölunda in the SDHL Women on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.