Luleå vs IF Bjorkloven prediction
Chance to win · 57% and 23% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Full game
- 1X2WonLulea1.50Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.35Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostBjorkloven +2.51.47Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLuleaodds down 1.29Confidence 66%
- Double chanceWonLulea or drawodds down 1.16Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonLuleaodds down 1.22Confidence 69%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.18Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostLuleaodds down 2.00Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.19Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min4–05%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-1 (5%), 2-1 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Djurgarden, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Lulea 1.61, Djurgarden 4.50.
- Loss, 1–2 at Vaxjo, Oct 22. Odds: Vaxjo 1.96, Lulea 3.10.
- Win, 5–2 against HV 71, Oct 17. Odds: Lulea 1.78, HV71 3.10.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Farjestad, after a shootout, Oct 15. Odds: Farjestad 1.71, Lulea 4.08.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Timrå, after overtime, Oct 10. Odds: Luleå 1.77, Timrå 3.90.
- Loss, 1–8 against Skellefteå, Oct 24. Odds: Bjorkloven 6.00, Skelleftea 1.39.
- Loss, 2–4 against Malmo, Oct 22. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.30, Malmo 1.91.
- Loss, 0–3 at Timrå, Oct 17. Odds: Timra 1.62, Bjorkloven 3.65.
- Loss, 1–2 against Rögle, Oct 15. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.78, Rogle 1.80.
- Win, 3–2 against Frölunda, Oct 10. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.95, Frölunda 1.75.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 03:36 5 min Luleå: Puustinen V. Illegal check to the head
- 08:23 2 min IF Bjorkloven: Bjork M. Tripping
2nd period3-0
- 03:38 2 min IF Bjorkloven: Malmstrom A. High sticking
- 09:18 2 min Luleå: Granberg D. High sticking
- 10:45 2 min Luleå: Hedqvist I. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 10:45 2 min IF Bjorkloven: Kovacs R. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 10:45 2 min Luleå: Engsund O. Roughing
- 10:45 2 min IF Bjorkloven: DiDomenico C. Roughing
- 13:20 2 min Luleå: Brannstrom I. Hooking
- 13:36 2 min IF Bjorkloven: DiDomenico C. Hooking
- 15:00 Goal Luleå: Tardif B. assists: O'Neill B., Engsund O. 1-0
- 16:57 2 min IF Bjorkloven: Niemela T. Hooking
- 17:54 Goal PPG Luleå: Eriksson F. assists: Sjostrom O., O'Neill B. 2-0
- 19:25 Goal Luleå: Brome M. assists: Eriksson F., Laaksonen O. 3-0
3rd period1-0
- 19:08 Goal ENG Luleå: Andreasson P. assists: Gustafsson E. 4-0
- 19:59 2 min Luleå: Nurmi M. Unsportsmanlike conduct
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for IF Bjorkloven coming into this game.
- In goal: Lassinantti J. for Luleå (3-4-3 in the last 10 starts), Tuohimaa F. for IF Bjorkloven (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Luleå −0.3, IF Bjorkloven −1.4 over their recent games.
- +1.2 goals at home — Luleå averaged 3.0 at home and 1.8 away this season.
- 1-1-3 in the last five for Luleå.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LUL) | 1.56 | 1.56 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BJO) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap LUL | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Luleå host IF Bjorkloven in the SHL on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.