Lyon vs Strasbourg Prediction & Picks

D1 Saturday, October 24, 2026Sat · Oct 24 Round 4

HomeLyon6-2-02nd in the standingsLWWLW

42 FT Puck drop 13:30 ET 1.882.90

1st 2nd 3rd

LYO 1 1 2

STR 0 1 1

FranceFrance

AwayStrasbourg3-5-014th in the standingsLLWWW

57%Lyon win · 46% in regulationLYO Overtime or shootout · 20%OT / SO 20% 43%Strasbourg win · 34% in regulationSTR

Chance to win · 46% and 34% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Handicap Lost

Strasbourg +1.5 1.50

Confidence64%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%

Full game

1X2WonLyonodds up 1.83Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU7.51.58Confidence 71%
Best tip of the game: HandicapLostStrasbourg +1.5odds up 1.50Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)WonLyon1.54Confidence 56%
Double chanceWonLyon or draw1.29Confidence 65%
Draw no betWonLyonConfidence 57%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonLyon2.24Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.49Confidence 55%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 3 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Lyon 32

Strasbourg

Final 4–2

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 6

Draw after 60 minDraw 20% Decided in regulation

LYO to winTo win 57% LYO won

Score details

Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 3-2
By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 2-1 (3%)

Last five games

Lyon 3-2-0

Loss, 4–10 against Grenoble, Oct 20. Odds: Lyon 15.00, Grenoble 1.12.
Win, 3–2 at Valenciennes, Oct 17. Odds: Valenciennes 2.46, Lyon 2.11.
Win, 5–2 against Chambery, Oct 10.
Loss, 1–3 at Tours, Oct 3.
Win, 7–2 at Annecy, Sep 26.

Strasbourg 3-2-0

Loss, 0–1 at Francais Volants, Oct 20. Odds: Fr. Volants 11.00, Strasbourg 1.13.
Loss, 1–5 against Caen, Oct 17. Odds: Strasbourg 2.29, Caen 2.29.
Win, 3–2 at Nantes, after a shootout, Oct 10.
Win, 2–1 against Villard, Oct 3.
Win, 8–2 at Luxembourg, Sep 26.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (LYO)	1.88	1.88	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.65	4.65	No change
1X2: 2 (STR)	2.90	2.90	No change
Over/Under line	7	7	No change
Handicap LYO	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

D1 standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Nantes	8	6	1	1	19	1.188	28	14	+14
2	Lyon	8	6	2	0	17	1.063	33	23	+10
3	Dunkerque Corsaires	8	5	0	3	16	1.000	35	20	+15
4	Neuilly Sur Marne	7	5	1	1	15	1.071	29	24	+5
5	Valence	7	5	1	1	15	1.071	26	18	+8
6	Epinal	8	5	2	1	15	.938	23	15	+8
7	Caen	7	4	1	2	13	.929	24	16	+8
8	Chambery	6	4	2	0	10	.833	21	16	+5
9	Meudon	8	3	3	2	10	.625	21	25	−4
10	Tours	7	3	3	1	10	.714	18	30	−12
11	Mont Blanc	7	3	2	2	9	.643	23	24	−1
12	Villard	8	3	5	0	9	.563	18	27	−9
13	Morzine-Avoriaz	8	3	5	0	7	.438	22	32	−10
14	Strasbourg	8	3	5	0	7	.438	15	26	−11
15	Cholet	6	1	2	3	5	.417	14	19	−5
16	Valenciennes	7	0	7	0	0	.000	11	32	−21

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Play Out

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Lyon host Strasbourg in the D1 on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.