Lyon vs Villard prediction
Chance to win · 61% and 21% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonLyonodds down 2.02Confidence 61%
- Over/UnderWonO4.51.35Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostVillard +1.5Confidence 56%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonLyon1.61Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonLyon or drawodds down 1.39Confidence 73%
- Draw no betWonLyonConfidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonLyon2.42Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.77Confidence 56%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min4–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period3–09%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (3%), 5-4 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Jan 10, 2026: Lyon 1, Villard 4.
- Oct 25, 2025: Villard 6, Lyon 7, after overtime.
Last five games
- Loss, 3–6 at Meudon, Nov 7. Odds: Meudon 2.45, Lyon 1.95.
- Win, 9–3 against Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 31. Odds: Lyon 1.50, Morzine-Avoriaz 4.50.
- Win, 4–3 at Cholet, after overtime, Oct 28. Odds: Cholet 1.85, Lyon 2.95.
- Win, 4–2 against Strasbourg, Oct 24. Odds: Lyon 1.88, Strasbourg 2.90.
- Loss, 4–10 against Grenoble, Oct 20. Odds: Lyon 15.00, Grenoble 1.12.
- Loss, 1–5 against Caen, Nov 7. Odds: Villard 2.75, Caen 1.80.
- Loss, 2–6 at Nantes, Oct 31. Odds: Nantes 1.72, Villard 3.30.
- Loss, 1–4 at Valence, Oct 27. Odds: Valence 2.30, Villard 2.30.
- Win, 4–1 against Meudon, Oct 24. Odds: Villard 2.25, Meudon 2.40.
- Loss, 0–4 against Gap, Oct 20. Odds: Villard 7.00, Gap 1.28.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Villard coming into this game.
- 2nd vs 12th in the D1 standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (LYO) | 1.83 | 2.02 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.30 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (VIL) | 2.75 | 2.70 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
D1 standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 1.188 | 28 | 14 | +14 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 1.063 | 33 | 23 | +10 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1.000 | 35 | 20 | +15 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 29 | 24 | +5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1.071 | 26 | 18 | +8 | |
| 6 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .938 | 23 | 15 | +8 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | .929 | 24 | 16 | +8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .833 | 21 | 16 | +5 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | .625 | 21 | 25 | −4 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | .714 | 18 | 30 | −12 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .643 | 23 | 24 | −1 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .563 | 18 | 27 | −9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 22 | 32 | −10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .438 | 15 | 26 | −11 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | .417 | 14 | 19 | −5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 11 | 32 | −21 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Lyon host Villard in the D1 on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.