Magnitogorsk vs Niznekamsk prediction
Magnitogorsk 8–, Niznekamsk 1
FT
Puck drop 09:00 ET
1X2 odds down 1.671X2 4.50
Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk) · RussiaArena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
MAG
1
5
2
NIZ
0
0
1
60%Magnitogorsk win · 48% in regulationMAG
Overtime or shootout · 22%OT / SO 22%
40%Niznekamsk win · 30% in regulationNIZ
Chance to win · 48% and 30% in regulation
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Over/Under
Lost
U6.5
odds up 1.30
Confidence72%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonMagnitogorskodds up 1.59Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.30Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostNiznekamsk +2.51.33Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMagnitogorskodds up 1.34Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonMagnitogorsk or drawodds up 1.16Confidence 71%
- Draw no betWonMagnitogorsk1.29Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.14Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMagnitogorsk2.16Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.51.19Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Magnitogorsk 3–1
Niznekamsk
Total goalsTotal
4
Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw
22%
Decided in regulation
MAG to winTo win
60%
MAG won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min8–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals2nd · 5 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Magnitogorsk
Niznekamsk
Magnitogorsk
Niznekamsk
Season recordMagnitogorsk 17-5-2Niznekamsk 13-7-3
Home / road splitMagnitogorsk 9-3-1Niznekamsk 7-5-0
StreakMagnitogorsk L1Niznekamsk W2
RestMagnitogorsk 1 dayNiznekamsk 1 day
Goals forMagnitogorsk 3.3Niznekamsk 2.8
Goals againstMagnitogorsk 2.3Niznekamsk 2.4
In the standingsMagnitogorsk 1stNiznekamsk 2nd
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMagnitogorsk +1.0Niznekamsk −0.1
Goals forMagnitogorsk 3.8Niznekamsk 2.1
Goals againstMagnitogorsk 2.8Niznekamsk 2.2
Shots on goalMagnitogorsk 32.7Niznekamsk 30.0
Shots againstMagnitogorsk 29.3Niznekamsk 33.9
Shooting %Magnitogorsk 11.6%Niznekamsk 7.0%
Save %Magnitogorsk 90.8%Niznekamsk 93.5%
Power-play %Magnitogorsk 15.8%Niznekamsk 14.7%
Penalty kill %Magnitogorsk 93.0%Niznekamsk 83.3%
Faceoff %Magnitogorsk 47.1%Niznekamsk 49.5%
Penalty minutesMagnitogorsk 11.4Niznekamsk 6.0
HitsMagnitogorsk 9.9Niznekamsk 17.1
Blocked shotsMagnitogorsk 13.2Niznekamsk 17.2
Per game · MAG at home, NIZ away
Goal differential per gameMagnitogorsk +1.6Niznekamsk +0.1
Goals forMagnitogorsk 3.9Niznekamsk 2.6
Goals againstMagnitogorsk 2.3Niznekamsk 2.5
Shots on goalMagnitogorsk 33.9Niznekamsk 25.6
Shots againstMagnitogorsk 27.4Niznekamsk 31.9
Shooting %Magnitogorsk 11.5%Niznekamsk 10.2%
Save %Magnitogorsk 92.0%Niznekamsk 92.2%
Power-play %Magnitogorsk 14.0%Niznekamsk 19.4%
Penalty kill %Magnitogorsk 92.7%Niznekamsk 81.5%
Faceoff %Magnitogorsk 49.2%Niznekamsk 50.1%
Penalty minutesMagnitogorsk 11.3Niznekamsk 5.4
HitsMagnitogorsk 9.8Niznekamsk 11.6
Blocked shotsMagnitogorsk 12.2Niznekamsk 14.4
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Magnitogorsk 3–2
Niznekamsk
Goals a gameGoals
6.2
MAG 3.4 · NIZ 2.8
Over 5.0 goalsOver 5.0
3 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
3 of 5
2 in overtime · 1 in a shootout
- Oct 27, 2026: Niznekamsk 2, Magnitogorsk 3, after overtime.
- Sep 20, 2026: Magnitogorsk 6, Niznekamsk 2.
- Dec 22, 2025: Magnitogorsk 4, Niznekamsk 3, after a shootout.
- Dec 5, 2025: Niznekamsk 2, Magnitogorsk 1, after overtime.
- Oct 23, 2025: Niznekamsk 5, Magnitogorsk 3.
Last five games
Magnitogorsk
3-2-0 - Loss, 3–7 against CSKA Moscow, Nov 3. Odds: Magnitogorsk 2.30, CSKA Moscow 2.50.
- Win, 4–3 at Yekaterinburg, Oct 31. Odds: Yekaterinburg 2.79, Magnitogorsk 2.20.
- Loss, 2–5 at Novosibirsk, Oct 29. Odds: Novosibirsk 4.10, Magnitogorsk 1.72.
- Win, 3–2 at Niznekamsk, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Niznekamsk 3.71, Magnitogorsk 1.91.
- Win, 5–1 against Novosibirsk, Oct 24. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.53, Novosibirsk 5.48.
Niznekamsk
3-1-1 - Win, 2–1 at Sochi, Nov 3. Odds: Sochi 3.50, Niznekamsk 1.83.
- Win, 3–1 at Novosibirsk, Nov 1. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.64, Niznekamsk 2.32.
- Loss, 3–4 against Vladivostok, Oct 29. Odds: Niznekamsk 1.82, Vladivostok 3.68.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Magnitogorsk, after overtime, Oct 27. Odds: Niznekamsk 3.71, Magnitogorsk 1.91.
- Win, 3–2 at Avangard Omsk, Oct 22. Odds: Avangard Omsk 1.92, Niznekamsk 3.35.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 05:46 2 min Niznekamsk: Sokolov S. Tripping
- 11:24 2 min Magnitogorsk: Korobkin Y. Holding the stick
- 19:30 Goal Magnitogorsk: Korobkin Y. 1-0
2nd period5-0
- 01:40 Goal Magnitogorsk: Johnson L. assists: Silantyev D., Tkachev V. 2-0
- 03:51 2 min Magnitogorsk: Khabarov M. Tripping
- 09:01 2 min Magnitogorsk: Palivko D. Holding
- 09:53 Goal SHG Magnitogorsk: Korobkin Y. assists: Nechayev I., Khabarov M. 3-0
- 11:32 Goalie change Niznekamsk: Ozolin Y. replaces Dolganov F.
- 15:35 2 min Niznekamsk: Kol T. Tripping
- 16:55 2 min Magnitogorsk: Tkachev V. Slashing
- 16:55 2 min Niznekamsk: Pastukhov I. Diving
- 17:12 Goal PPG Magnitogorsk: Vovchenko D. assists: Orekhov V., Nechayev I. 4-0
- 17:33 Goal Magnitogorsk: Nechayev I. assists: Khabarov M., Fyodorov M. 5-0
- 19:48 Goal Magnitogorsk: Fyodorov M. assists: Iskhakov R. 6-0
3rd period2-1
- 02:57 2 min Niznekamsk: Belozyorov A. Holding
- 06:51 2 min Magnitogorsk: Iskhakov R. High sticking
- 07:04 2 min Niznekamsk: Tyanulin A. Tripping
- 09:13 2 min Niznekamsk: Bikmullin R. Hooking
- 09:52 Goal SHG Niznekamsk: Tochilkin G. 6-1
- 10:48 Goal PPG Magnitogorsk: Todd N. assists: Vovchenko D., Orekhov V. 7-1
- 10:48 2 min Niznekamsk: Ozolin Y. Throwing the stick
- 10:48 2 min Niznekamsk: — Delay of game
- 12:33 Goal PPG Magnitogorsk: Johnson L. assists: Tkachev V., Yakovlev Y. 8-1
- 13:40 2 min Magnitogorsk: Nechayev I. High sticking
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.1 per game — Magnitogorsk +1.0, Niznekamsk −0.1 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Magnitogorsk.
- −0.9 goals away — Niznekamsk averaged 3.3 at home and 2.4 away this season.
- Save % gap: Magnitogorsk 90.8%, Niznekamsk 93.5% over their recent games.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAG) | 1.68 | 1.67 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.60 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (NIZ) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap MAG | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Kharlamov Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magnitogorsk |
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 |
| 2 | Niznekamsk |
26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 |
| 3 |  Tractor Chelyabinsk |
25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 |
| 4 |  Bars Kazan |
26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 |
| 5 |  Yekaterinburg |
23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Magnitogorsk host Niznekamsk in the KHL on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.