Magnitogorsk vs Novosibirsk prediction
Chance to win · 61% and 19% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2WonMagnitogorsk1.48Confidence 63%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.40Confidence 73%
- HandicapLostNovosibirsk +2.51.43Confidence 67%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMagnitogorskodds down 1.27Confidence 74%
- Banker of the day: Double chanceWonMagnitogorsk or draw1.16Confidence 94%
- Draw no betWonMagnitogorskodds down 1.22Confidence 77%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.12Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMagnitogorskodds up 2.01Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU1.5odds down 1.78Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min5–16%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 1-0, 1-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 3-1 (6%), 4-2 (5%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 29, 2026: Novosibirsk 5, Magnitogorsk 2.
- Apr 1, 2026: Magnitogorsk 1, Novosibirsk 0.
- Mar 30, 2026: Novosibirsk 1, Magnitogorsk 0, after overtime.
- Mar 28, 2026: Novosibirsk 1, Magnitogorsk 3.
- Mar 26, 2026: Magnitogorsk 5, Novosibirsk 1.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Salavat Ufa, after a shootout, Oct 21. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.73, Salavat Ufa 3.94.
- Win, 4–2 against Yekaterinburg, Oct 18. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.92, Yekaterinburg 3.39.
- Win, 3–1 at Dinamo Minsk, Oct 14. Odds: Dinamo Minsk 2.75, Magnitogorsk 2.11.
- Win, 3–2 at Nizhny Novgorod, after overtime, Oct 12. Odds: Nizhny Novgorod 2.90, Magnitogorsk 2.08.
- Win, 7–1 against Salavat Ufa, Oct 9. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.83, Salavat Ufa 3.50.
- Loss, 3–6 at SKA St. Petersburg, Oct 22. Odds: SKA 1.82, Novosibirsk 3.65.
- Win, 3–2 at Dynamo Moscow, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: Dynamo Moscow 1.83, Novosibirsk 3.65.
- Loss, 0–1 against Barys Astana, Oct 17. Odds: Novosibirsk 2.64, Barys Astana 2.30.
- Win, 4–2 at Salavat Ufa, Oct 14. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.74, Novosibirsk 3.75.
- Win, 3–2 at Barys Astana, Oct 12. Odds: Barys Astana 1.98, Novosibirsk 3.10.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 13:29 2 min Magnitogorsk: Fyodorov M. Interference
- 18:08 2 min Magnitogorsk: Palivko D. Hooking
2nd period3-1
- 02:28 Goal Novosibirsk: Sushko M. assists: Pershakov A., Chaika D. 0-1
- 10:08 Goal Magnitogorsk: Kozlov A. assists: Tolchinsky S. 1-1
- 15:00 Goal Magnitogorsk: Vovchenko D. assists: Todd N., Provolnev V. 2-1
- 19:09 2 min Novosibirsk: Korshkov Y. Hooking
- 19:18 Goal PPG Magnitogorsk: Orekhov V. assists: Tolchinsky S., Todd N. 3-1
3rd period2-0
- 00:52 Goal Magnitogorsk: Johnson L. assists: Tkachev V., Mikhailis N. 4-1
- 00:52 Goalie change Novosibirsk: Krasotkin A. replaces Berdin M.
- 01:43 2 min Magnitogorsk: Orekhov V. Tripping
- 04:06 Goal Magnitogorsk: Iskhakov R. assists: Siryatsky A., Kozlov A. 5-1
- 11:37 2 min Novosibirsk: Nekolenko A. High sticking
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- In goal: Zavragin Y. for Magnitogorsk (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Berdin M. for Novosibirsk (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 1.6 per game — Magnitogorsk +1.4, Novosibirsk −0.2 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Magnitogorsk.
- 4-0-1 in the last five for Magnitogorsk.
- 3.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAG) | 1.53 | 1.53 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.18 | 5.18 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 5.48 | 5.48 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAG | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 | |
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 | |
| 3 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 | |
| 4 | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 | |
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 | |
| 6 | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 | |
| 7 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 | |
| 8 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 | |
| 9 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 | |
| 10 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 | |
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Magnitogorsk host Novosibirsk in the KHL on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.