Magnitogorsk vs Salavat Ufa prediction
Magnitogorsk 4–, Salavat Ufa 5
AP
Puck drop 10:00 ET
1X2 odds up 1.731X2 odds down 3.94
Arena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk) · RussiaArena Metallurg (Magnitogorsk)
Team
1st
2nd
3rd
OT
SO
MAG
3
0
1
0
0
SAL
1
0
3
0
1
69%Magnitogorsk win · 57% in regulationMAG
Overtime or shootout · 20%OT / SO 20%
31%Salavat Ufa win · 23% in regulationSAL
Chance to win · 57% and 23% in regulation
Smolin A.StartedSV 94% · GAA 1.80 · 8-1-1
Bocharov I.StartedSV 88.7% · GAA 3.60 · 3-6-1
Best tip of the gameBest tip
Double chance
Won
Magnitogorsk or draw
odds down 1.25
Confidence79%
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- 1X2LostMagnitogorskodds down 1.73Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds up 1.36Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonMagnitogorsk +0.5odds down 1.26Confidence 72%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMagnitogorskodds down 1.43Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonMagnitogorsk or drawodds down 1.25Confidence 79%
- Draw no betPushMagnitogorskodds down 1.38Confidence 74%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.11Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMagnitogorskodds down 2.27Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.51.22Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Magnitogorsk 4–1
Salavat Ufa
Total goalsTotal
5
Actual 9
Draw after 60 minDraw
20%
Went to a shootout
MAG to winTo win
69%
SAL won
Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–46%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period3–119%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 2-1, 1-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (6%), 3-1 (5%), 4-2 (5%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent form
Season
Magnitogorsk
Salavat Ufa
Magnitogorsk
Salavat Ufa
Season recordMagnitogorsk 14-3-1Salavat Ufa 9-8-1
Home / road splitMagnitogorsk 8-2-0Salavat Ufa 6-5-0
StreakMagnitogorsk W5Salavat Ufa L1
RestMagnitogorsk 2 daysSalavat Ufa 1 day
Goals forMagnitogorsk 3.2Salavat Ufa 2.9
Goals againstMagnitogorsk 1.8Salavat Ufa 3.1
In the standingsMagnitogorsk 1stSalavat Ufa 3rd
Per game · last 10 each
Goal differential per gameMagnitogorsk +1.5Salavat Ufa −1.1
Goals forMagnitogorsk 3.2Salavat Ufa 2.5
Goals againstMagnitogorsk 1.7Salavat Ufa 3.6
Shots on goalMagnitogorsk 30.1Salavat Ufa 29.2
Shots againstMagnitogorsk 26.9Salavat Ufa 32.0
Shooting %Magnitogorsk 10.6%Salavat Ufa 8.6%
Save %Magnitogorsk 94.4%Salavat Ufa 89.4%
Power-play %Magnitogorsk 11.1%Salavat Ufa 17.6%
Penalty kill %Magnitogorsk 95.3%Salavat Ufa 79.1%
Faceoff %Magnitogorsk 46.2%Salavat Ufa 52.3%
Penalty minutesMagnitogorsk 8.4Salavat Ufa 8.6
HitsMagnitogorsk 10.0Salavat Ufa 16.7
Blocked shotsMagnitogorsk 14.1Salavat Ufa 18.4
Per game · MAG at home, SAL away
Goal differential per gameMagnitogorsk +1.8Salavat Ufa −0.4
Goals forMagnitogorsk 3.5Salavat Ufa 3.0
Goals againstMagnitogorsk 1.7Salavat Ufa 3.4
Shots on goalMagnitogorsk 32.8Salavat Ufa 29.1
Shots againstMagnitogorsk 25.1Salavat Ufa 35.7
Shooting %Magnitogorsk 10.7%Salavat Ufa 10.3%
Save %Magnitogorsk 93.6%Salavat Ufa 90.8%
Power-play %Magnitogorsk 17.1%Salavat Ufa 17.4%
Penalty kill %Magnitogorsk 94.7%Salavat Ufa 75.5%
Faceoff %Magnitogorsk 49.4%Salavat Ufa 48.3%
Penalty minutesMagnitogorsk 8.5Salavat Ufa 9.8
HitsMagnitogorsk 10.1Salavat Ufa 16.7
Blocked shotsMagnitogorsk 13.6Salavat Ufa 14.9
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Magnitogorsk 4–1
Salavat Ufa
Goals a gameGoals
7.0
MAG 4.4 · SAL 2.6
Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5
4 of 5
This game’s line
Past 60 minutesOvertime
2 of 5
1 in overtime · 1 in a shootout
- Oct 9, 2026: Magnitogorsk 7, Salavat Ufa 1.
- Sep 23, 2026: Salavat Ufa 3, Magnitogorsk 4.
- Mar 11, 2026: Salavat Ufa 1, Magnitogorsk 2, after overtime.
- Feb 13, 2026: Salavat Ufa 4, Magnitogorsk 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 16, 2025: Magnitogorsk 6, Salavat Ufa 4.
Last five games
Magnitogorsk
5-0-0 - Win, 4–2 against Yekaterinburg, Oct 18. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.92, Yekaterinburg 3.39.
- Win, 3–1 at Dinamo Minsk, Oct 14. Odds: Dinamo Minsk 2.75, Magnitogorsk 2.11.
- Win, 3–2 at Nizhny Novgorod, after overtime, Oct 12. Odds: Nizhny Novgorod 2.90, Magnitogorsk 2.08.
- Win, 7–1 against Salavat Ufa, Oct 9. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.83, Salavat Ufa 3.50.
- Win, 3–0 against Vladivostok, Oct 7.
Salavat Ufa
2-3-0 - Loss, 0–2 at Vladivostok, Oct 19. Odds: Vladivostok 3.32, Salavat Ufa 1.99.
- Win, 4–3 at Khabarovsk, Oct 17. Odds: Khabarovsk 2.87, Salavat Ufa 2.20.
- Loss, 2–4 against Novosibirsk, Oct 14. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.74, Novosibirsk 3.75.
- Win, 4–3 against Niznekamsk, Oct 12. Odds: Salavat Ufa 1.83, Niznekamsk 3.40.
- Loss, 1–7 at Magnitogorsk, Oct 9. Odds: Magnitogorsk 1.83, Salavat Ufa 3.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-1
- 01:51 Goal Salavat Ufa: Kuznetsov M. assists: Rempal S., Zagrebin M. 0-1
- 04:45 2 min Salavat Ufa: Zharovskiy A. Hooking
- 06:51 Goal Magnitogorsk: Vovchenko D. assists: Johnson L., Tolchinsky S. 1-1
- 07:48 2 min Salavat Ufa: Rempal S. Hooking
- 12:03 2 min Salavat Ufa: Shipachyov V. Hooking
- 12:13 Goal PPG Magnitogorsk: Todd N. assists: Orekhov V., Johnson L. 2-1
- 13:27 2 min Magnitogorsk: Palivko D. Holding
- 14:02 2 min Magnitogorsk: Korotkov N. Tripping
- 19:30 Goal Magnitogorsk: Tkachev V. 3-1
2nd period0-0
- 03:59 2 min Salavat Ufa: Rodewald J. Roughing
- 03:59 Penalty Magnitogorsk: Tolchinsky S. Unsportsmanlike conduct
- 05:23 2 min Salavat Ufa: Zorkin N. Slashing
- 15:02 2 min Magnitogorsk: Khabarov M. Roughing
- 15:02 2 min Salavat Ufa: Maggio M. Roughing
- 15:02 5 min Salavat Ufa: Panin G. Boarding
- 16:38 2 min Salavat Ufa: Rempal S. Slashing
3rd period1-3
- 04:06 Goal Salavat Ufa: Zharovskiy A. assists: Zorkin N., Rodewald J. 3-2
- 06:28 2 min Magnitogorsk: Todd N. Tripping
- 08:19 2 min Magnitogorsk: Starkov S. Holding
- 10:08 Goal PPG Salavat Ufa: Shipachyov V. assists: Tsulygin Y., Zharovskiy A. 3-3
- 17:55 Goal Salavat Ufa: Rodewald J. assists: Zharovskiy A. 3-4
- 18:57 Goal Magnitogorsk: Johnson L. assists: Vovchenko D., Todd N. 4-4
Overtime0-0
No goals or penalties.
Shootout0-1
-
Round 1
Tolchinsky S.
✗missed
Rempal S.
✓scored
-
Round 2
Mikhailis N.
✗missed
Zharovskiy A.
✗missed
-
Round 3
Tkachev V.
✗missed
—
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Magnitogorsk coming into this game.
- In goal: Smolin A. for Magnitogorsk (8-1-1 in the last 10 starts), Bocharov I. for Salavat Ufa (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 8-2-0 at home for Magnitogorsk this season.
- Goal differential gap of 2.6 per game — Magnitogorsk +1.5, Salavat Ufa −1.1 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Magnitogorsk.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAG) | 1.70 | 1.73 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SAL) | 4.10 | 3.94 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAG | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
KHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magnitogorsk |
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 38 | .760 | 87 | 57 | +30 |
| 2 |  Niznekamsk |
26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 31 | .596 | 71 | 71 | 0 |
| 3 | Salavat Ufa |
25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 26 | .520 | 72 | 73 | −1 |
| 4 |  Tractor Chelyabinsk |
25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 26 | .520 | 57 | 62 | −5 |
| 5 |  Bars Kazan |
26 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .500 | 60 | 63 | −3 |
| 6 |  Avangard Omsk |
23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 26 | .565 | 46 | 55 | −9 |
| 7 |  Khabarovsk |
23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 25 | .543 | 46 | 38 | +8 |
| 8 |  Barys Astana |
24 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 25 | .521 | 76 | 66 | +10 |
| 9 |  Yekaterinburg |
23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 62 | 58 | +4 |
| 10 |  Vladivostok |
23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 25 | .543 | 61 | 64 | −3 |
| 11 |  Novosibirsk |
26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 22 | .423 | 58 | 77 | −19 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Magnitogorsk host Salavat Ufa in the KHL on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.