Maine Black Bears vs Colgate Raiders prediction
Chance to win · 77% and 10% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 71%Full game
- Best tip of the game: 1X2WonMaineodds up 1.30Confidence 72%
- Over/UnderWonU7.5odds down 1.30Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonMaine -2.5odds up 1.87Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMaineodds up 1.16Confidence 80%
- Double chanceWonMaine or drawodds up 1.09Confidence 82%
- Draw no betWonMaineodds up 1.12Confidence 80%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.11Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMaineodds up 1.78Confidence 55%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.67Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Maine 4–1
Colgate Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min3–08%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–013%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (8%), 5-2 (6%), 5-1 (5%)
Season so far
This seasonMaine Black Bears
Colgate Raiders
Head-to-head
Maine 2–1
Colgate - Oct 24, 2026: Maine Black Bears 3, Colgate Raiders 0.
- Oct 25, 2025: Maine Black Bears 3, Colgate Raiders 2, after overtime.
- Oct 24, 2025: Maine Black Bears 2, Colgate Raiders 3.
Last five games
Maine
2-2-1 - Win, 5–3 against Quinnipiac Bobcats, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–2 against Quinnipiac Bobcats, Oct 9. Odds: Maine 3.30, Quinnipiac 1.83.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Holy Cross Crusaders, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–1 at Holy Cross Crusaders, Oct 2.
- Loss, 0–5 at Boston College Eagles, Mar 13.
Colgate
0-4-1 - Loss, 0–2 against New Hampshire Wildcats, Oct 17. Odds: Colgate 3.10, New Hampshire 1.83.
- Loss, 2–5 against New Hampshire Wildcats, Oct 16. Odds: Colgate 2.72, New Hampshire 1.88.
- Loss, 2–4 at Stonehill, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Stonehill, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Stonehill 3.85, Colgate 1.67.
- Loss, 1–4 at Dartmouth Big Green, Mar 14.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Colgate Raiders coming into this game.
- The total moved down from 6.5 to 5.5 since it was first published.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Maine Black Bears.
- 4.3 goals per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MBB) | 1.35 | 1.35 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (COL) | 6.20 | 6.20 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 5.5 | Line lowered |
| Handicap MBB | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Hockey East
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston University Terriers |
28 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 2.018 | 0 |
| 2 |  Connecticut Huskies |
30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 1.633 | 0 |
| 3 |  Massachusetts Lowell |
28 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1.321 | 0 |
| 4 |  Northeastern Huskies |
29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 1.552 | 0 |
| 5 |  Merrimack Warriors |
29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 82 | 1.414 | 0 |
| 6 |  Providence Friars |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 7 | Maine Black Bears |
29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.310 | 0 |
| 8 |  Massachusetts Minutemen |
27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 76 | 1.407 | 0 |
| 9 |  Boston College Eagles |
28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 10 |  New Hampshire Wildcats |
30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 1.117 | 0 |
| 11 |  Vermont Catamounts |
29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 56 | .966 | 0 |
NCAA · ECAC
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Quinnipiac Bobcats |
29 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 116 | 2.000 | 0 |
| 2 |  Harvard Crimson |
25 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 92 | 1.840 | 0 |
| 3 |  Cornell Big Red |
25 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 92 | 1.840 | 0 |
| 4 |  St. Lawrence Saints |
30 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 76 | 1.267 | 0 |
| 5 | Colgate Raiders |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 86 | 1.433 | 0 |
| 6 |  Union Dutchmen |
30 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.267 | 0 |
| 7 |  Clarkson Golden Knights |
30 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 82 | 1.367 | 0 |
| 8 |  Princeton Tigers |
25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 73 | 1.460 | 0 |
| 9 |  Rensselaer Engineers |
30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 74 | 1.233 | 0 |
| 10 |  Brown Bears |
25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 59 | 1.180 | 0 |
| 11 |  Yale Bulldogs |
25 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 43 | .860 | 0 |
| 12 |  Dartmouth Big Green |
25 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 60 | 1.200 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Maine Black Bears host Colgate Raiders in the NCAA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.