Maine Black Bears vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction
Chance to win · 55% and 24% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2LostMaineodds down 1.98Confidence 57%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds down 1.41Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonUMass +1.5odds down 1.48Confidence 63%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMaine1.57Confidence 69%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceLostMaine or drawodds down 1.38Confidence 76%
- Draw no betLostMaineodds down 1.56Confidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.09Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMaineodds down 2.42Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Maine 3–2
UMass Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–119%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · all three30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonMaine Black Bears
Massachusetts Minutemen
Head-to-head
Maine 3–2
UMass - Nov 7, 2026: Maine Black Bears 2, Massachusetts Minutemen 0.
- Nov 7, 2025: Massachusetts Minutemen 4, Maine Black Bears 0.
- Nov 6, 2025: Massachusetts Minutemen 2, Maine Black Bears 6.
- Mar 8, 2025: Massachusetts Minutemen 2, Maine Black Bears 3, after a shootout.
- Mar 7, 2025: Massachusetts Minutemen 5, Maine Black Bears 1.
Last five games
Maine
3-1-1 - Overtime loss, 2–3 at Boston University Terriers, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.80, Maine 3.05.
- Loss, 2–7 at Boston University Terriers, Oct 30. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.98, Maine 2.85.
- Win, 3–0 against Colgate Raiders, Oct 24. Odds: Maine 1.40, Colgate 5.80.
- Win, 3–0 against Colgate Raiders, Oct 23. Odds: Maine 1.35, Colgate 6.20.
- Win, 5–3 against Quinnipiac Bobcats, Oct 10.
UMass
3-2-0 - Win, 4–2 against Harvard Crimson, Oct 30. Odds: UMass 1.88, Harvard 3.15.
- Loss, 1–2 at Harvard Crimson, Oct 29. Odds: Harvard 2.08, UMass 2.65.
- Win, 5–3 against Stonehill, Oct 24. Odds: UMass 1.35, Stonehill 6.50.
- Loss, 1–4 against Northeastern Huskies, Oct 17. Odds: UMass 2.18, Northeastern 2.32.
- Win, 4–1 against Northeastern Huskies, Oct 16. Odds: UMass 2.25, Northeastern 2.25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Maine Black Bears.
- 5.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 7th vs 8th in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MBB) | 1.89 | 1.98 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.10 | 4.00 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (MAS) | 3.09 | 2.90 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MBB | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Hockey East
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston University Terriers |
28 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 2.018 | 0 |
| 2 |  Connecticut Huskies |
30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 1.633 | 0 |
| 3 |  Massachusetts Lowell |
28 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1.321 | 0 |
| 4 |  Northeastern Huskies |
29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 1.552 | 0 |
| 5 |  Merrimack Warriors |
29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 82 | 1.414 | 0 |
| 6 |  Providence Friars |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 7 | Maine Black Bears |
29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.310 | 0 |
| 8 | Massachusetts Minutemen |
27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 76 | 1.407 | 0 |
| 9 |  Boston College Eagles |
28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 10 |  New Hampshire Wildcats |
30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 1.117 | 0 |
| 11 |  Vermont Catamounts |
29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 56 | .966 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Maine Black Bears host Massachusetts Minutemen in the NCAA on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.