Maine Black Bears vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction
Chance to win · 51% and 28% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2WonMaine1.95Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.36Confidence 72%
- HandicapLostUMass +1.51.44Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMaine1.58Confidence 64%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonMaine or draw1.32Confidence 73%
- Draw no betWonMaine1.54Confidence 67%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.10Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMaineodds down 2.47Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Maine 3–2
UMass Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreWon1–01st period1–018%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-0, 0-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonMaine Black Bears
Massachusetts Minutemen
Head-to-head
Maine 2–3
UMass - Nov 6, 2026: Maine Black Bears 1, Massachusetts Minutemen 2.
- Nov 7, 2025: Massachusetts Minutemen 4, Maine Black Bears 0.
- Nov 6, 2025: Massachusetts Minutemen 2, Maine Black Bears 6.
- Mar 8, 2025: Massachusetts Minutemen 2, Maine Black Bears 3, after a shootout.
- Mar 7, 2025: Massachusetts Minutemen 5, Maine Black Bears 1.
Last five games
Maine
2-2-1 - Loss, 1–2 against Massachusetts Minutemen, Nov 6. Odds: Maine 1.98, UMass 2.90.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Boston University Terriers, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.80, Maine 3.05.
- Loss, 2–7 at Boston University Terriers, Oct 30. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.98, Maine 2.85.
- Win, 3–0 against Colgate Raiders, Oct 24. Odds: Maine 1.40, Colgate 5.80.
- Win, 3–0 against Colgate Raiders, Oct 23. Odds: Maine 1.35, Colgate 6.20.
UMass
3-2-0 - Win, 2–1 at Maine Black Bears, Nov 6. Odds: Maine 1.98, UMass 2.90.
- Win, 4–2 against Harvard Crimson, Oct 30. Odds: UMass 1.88, Harvard 3.15.
- Loss, 1–2 at Harvard Crimson, Oct 29. Odds: Harvard 2.08, UMass 2.65.
- Win, 5–3 against Stonehill, Oct 24. Odds: UMass 1.35, Stonehill 6.50.
- Loss, 1–4 against Northeastern Huskies, Oct 17. Odds: UMass 2.18, Northeastern 2.32.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Maine Black Bears and Massachusetts Minutemen played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Maine Black Bears coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Massachusetts Minutemen.
- −2.5 goals away — Massachusetts Minutemen averaged 3.5 at home and 1.0 away this season.
- 5.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MBB) | 1.95 | 1.98 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.75 | 4.00 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (MAS) | 2.95 | 2.90 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MBB | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Hockey East
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston University Terriers |
28 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 2.018 | 0 |
| 2 |  Connecticut Huskies |
30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 1.633 | 0 |
| 3 |  Massachusetts Lowell |
28 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1.321 | 0 |
| 4 |  Northeastern Huskies |
29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 1.552 | 0 |
| 5 |  Merrimack Warriors |
29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 82 | 1.414 | 0 |
| 6 |  Providence Friars |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 7 | Maine Black Bears |
29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.310 | 0 |
| 8 | Massachusetts Minutemen |
27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 76 | 1.407 | 0 |
| 9 |  Boston College Eagles |
28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 10 |  New Hampshire Wildcats |
30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 1.117 | 0 |
| 11 |  Vermont Catamounts |
29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 56 | .966 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Maine Black Bears host Massachusetts Minutemen in the NCAA on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.