Maine Mariners vs Wheeling Nailers prediction
Chance to win · 38% and 39% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2LostWheeling2.52Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.36Confidence 72%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostWheeling +1.51.36Confidence 70%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostWheeling1.97Confidence 51%
- Double chanceLostWheeling or drawodds up 1.53Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostWheeling1.95Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.09Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonDrawodds down 2.52Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU1.5odds down 1.80Confidence 57%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Maine 1–4
Wheeling Score details
- Correct scoreLost1–4After 60 min5–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–122%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 1-4
- By period 0-0, 0-2, 1-2
- Likeliest 1-4 (4%), 2-3 (4%), 1-3 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonMaine Mariners
Wheeling Nailers
Head-to-head
Maine 3–2
Wheeling - May 18, 2026: Wheeling Nailers 4, Maine Mariners 3.
- May 16, 2026: Wheeling Nailers 2, Maine Mariners 1, after overtime.
- May 13, 2026: Maine Mariners 5, Wheeling Nailers 3.
- May 12, 2026: Maine Mariners 2, Wheeling Nailers 1, after overtime.
- May 11, 2026: Maine Mariners 6, Wheeling Nailers 3.
Last five games
Maine
2-3-0 - Win, 2–0 at Greensboro Gargoyles, Nov 7.
- Loss, 2–5 at Greensboro Gargoyles, Nov 6. Odds: Greensboro 3.76, Maine 1.53.
- Loss, 2–3 at Greensboro Gargoyles, Nov 5. Odds: Greensboro 3.00, Maine 1.87.
- Loss, 2–4 at Trois-Rivieres Lions, Oct 31.
- Win, 3–2 at Trois-Rivieres Lions, after overtime, Oct 30.
Wheeling
2-1-2 - Win, 5–3 at Worcester Railers, Nov 8.
- Win, 3–1 at Worcester Railers, Nov 7. Odds: Worcester 2.40, Wheeling 2.25.
- Loss, 2–5 at Trenton Ironhawks, Nov 6. Odds: Trenton 2.16, Wheeling 2.16.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Cincinnati Cyclones, after overtime, Nov 1. Odds: Wheeling 2.13, Cincinnati 2.49.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Cincinnati Cyclones, after a shootout, Oct 31. Odds: Wheeling 2.05, Cincinnati 2.60.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 07:15 Goal PPG Wheeling Nailers: Crasa M. assists: Sheriff D., Hartman T. 0-1
- 16:36 Goal PPG Maine Mariners: Cronin R. assists: Bloom J., Gallatin O. 1-1
2nd period2-0
- 09:40 Goal SHG Maine Mariners: Andreev M. assists: Bloom J., Bellamy J. 2-1
- 14:21 Goal Maine Mariners: Primeau M. 3-1
3rd period2-1
- 03:47 Goal Maine Mariners: Gallatin O. assists: Andreev M., Venuto A. 4-1
- 04:15 Goal Wheeling Nailers: Hartman T. assists: Sansbury H. 4-2
- 17:14 Goal ENG Maine Mariners: Andreev M. assists: Underwood M. 5-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Maine Mariners.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAI) | 2.15 | 2.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (WHE) | 2.55 | 2.55 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAI | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
ECHL standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Greenville Swamp Rabbits |
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | .818 | 38 | 26 | +12 |
| 2 |  Florida Everblades |
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16 | .889 | 33 | 12 | +21 |
| 3 |  Trois-Rivieres Lions |
9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | .889 | 46 | 28 | +18 |
| 4 |  South Carolina Stingrays |
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 35 | 16 | +19 |
| 5 |  Greensboro Gargoyles |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 26 | 24 | +2 |
| 6 |  Trenton Ironhawks |
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | .611 | 30 | 30 | 0 |
| 7 |  Norfolk Admirals |
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 11 | .458 | 30 | 42 | −12 |
| 8 | Maine Mariners |
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | .556 | 24 | 21 | +3 |
| 9 |  Jacksonville IceMen |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 19 | 31 | −12 |
| 10 |  Reading Royals |
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .571 | 20 | 16 | +4 |
| 11 |  Adirondack Thunder |
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 8 | .571 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 |  Savannah Ghost Pirates |
10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 7 | .350 | 24 | 38 | −14 |
| 13 |  Orlando Solar Bears |
9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 6 | .333 | 18 | 30 | −12 |
| 14 |  Atlanta Gladiators |
10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | .250 | 18 | 35 | −17 |
| 15 |  Worcester Railers |
8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 16 | 26 | −10 |
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cincinnati Cyclones |
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | .750 | 35 | 29 | +6 |
| 2 |  Tulsa Oilers |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 28 | 19 | +9 |
| 3 |  Toledo Walleye |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 30 | 23 | +7 |
| 4 |  Allen Americans |
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | .667 | 30 | 25 | +5 |
| 5 |  Bloomington Bison |
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | .857 | 26 | 20 | +6 |
| 6 |  Indy Fuel |
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | .458 | 35 | 41 | −6 |
| 7 |  Kansas City |
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | .500 | 25 | 26 | −1 |
| 8 |  Rapid City Rush |
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10 | .714 | 26 | 17 | +9 |
| 9 |  Tahoe Knight Monsters |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .450 | 24 | 27 | −3 |
| 10 |  Wichita Thunder |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | .563 | 21 | 25 | −4 |
| 11 |  Fort Wayne Komets |
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .500 | 27 | 33 | −6 |
| 12 | Wheeling Nailers |
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | .500 | 23 | 28 | −5 |
| 13 |  New Mexico Goatheads |
11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 | .364 | 27 | 41 | −14 |
| 14 |  Kalamazoo Wings |
9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | .444 | 22 | 26 | −4 |
| 15 |  Idaho Steelheads |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | .500 | 21 | 22 | −1 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Maine Mariners host Wheeling Nailers in the ECHL on Tuesday, November 10, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.