Malmo vs HV 71 prediction
Chance to win · 65% and 18% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Full game
- 1X2LostMalmoodds down 1.78Confidence 65%
- Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.38Confidence 68%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonMalmo +0.5odds down 1.28Confidence 76%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMalmoodds down 1.49Confidence 72%
- Double chanceWonMalmo or drawodds down 1.26Confidence 78%
- Draw no betPushMalmoodds down 1.41Confidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds up 1.11Confidence 83%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMalmoodds down 2.25Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds down 1.27Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–27%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period0–020%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 3-1 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Sep 19, 2026: HV 71 4, Malmo 5, after overtime.
- Feb 7, 2026: Malmo 3, HV 71 2.
- Dec 30, 2025: HV 71 2, Malmo 3, after overtime.
- Dec 6, 2025: HV 71 1, Malmo 4.
- Sep 20, 2025: Malmo 3, HV 71 2.
Last five games
- Win, 3–0 at Rögle, Oct 29. Odds: Rogle 1.76, Malmo 3.80.
- Win, 8–2 against Linkoping, Oct 27. Odds: Malmo 1.81, Linkoping 3.60.
- Loss, 1–2 against Timrå, Oct 24. Odds: Malmo 2.01, Timra 3.20.
- Win, 4–2 at IF Bjorkloven, Oct 22. Odds: Bjorkloven 3.30, Malmo 1.91.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at Djurgarden, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Djurgarden 2.18, Malmo 2.42.
- Loss, 0–3 at Djurgarden, Oct 29. Odds: Djurgarden 2.20, HV71 2.75.
- Loss, 2–6 against Frölunda, Oct 24. Odds: HV71 3.30, Frolunda 1.91.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Linkoping, after a shootout, Oct 20. Odds: HV71 1.98, Linkoping 2.72.
- Loss, 2–5 at Luleå, Oct 17. Odds: Lulea 1.78, HV71 3.10.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at Timrå, after overtime, Oct 15. Odds: Timra 2.31, HV71 2.72.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
- 19:30 2 min Malmo: Bjorkman F. Tripping
2nd period1-0
- 02:01 2 min Malmo: Viro E. Roughing
- 02:01 2 min HV 71: Nilsson W. Roughing
- 03:05 Goal Malmo: Eklind O. assists: Diliberatore P., Vesterheim P. 1-0
- 15:05 2 min HV 71: Kloos J. Tripping
3rd period1-2
- 00:38 Goal HV 71: Hardman M. assists: Lagerberg L., Fransson H. 1-1
- 11:42 Goal HV 71: Woods R. assists: Lagerberg L., Fransson H. 1-2
- 19:43 Goal Malmo: Eklind O. assists: Kaski O., Kuokkanen J. 2-2
Overtime1-0
- 01:08 2 min Malmo: Pajuniemi L. Roughing
- 01:08 2 min HV 71: Borgman A. Roughing
- 04:40 Goal Malmo: Persson C. assists: Vesterheim P., Kaski O. 3-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-game losing streak for HV 71 coming into this game.
- 0-6-1 away for HV 71 this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Malmo.
- In goal: Langhamer M. for Malmo (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts), Sandstrom F. for HV 71 (2-5-3 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.6 per game — Malmo +1.2, HV 71 −1.4 over their recent games.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAL) | 1.76 | 1.76 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (71X) | 3.80 | 3.80 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAL | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Malmo host HV 71 in the SHL on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.