Malmo vs Orebro prediction
Chance to win · 46% and 33% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2WonMalmoodds up 2.00Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.31Confidence 69%
- HandicapLostOrebro +1.5odds up 1.40Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMalmoodds up 1.61Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonMalmo or drawodds up 1.36Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonMalmoodds up 1.57Confidence 58%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.12Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5odds up 1.17Confidence 79%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min6–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period1–021%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Feb 26, 2026: Malmo 1, Orebro 4.
- Jan 10, 2026: Orebro 4, Malmo 2.
- Nov 15, 2025: Orebro 0, Malmo 5.
- Oct 2, 2025: Malmo 3, Orebro 2.
- Mar 8, 2025: Orebro 2, Malmo 4.
Last five games
- Loss, 2–6 at Farjestad, Oct 10. Odds: Farjestad 1.56, Malmo 4.80.
- Win, 3–2 at Luleå, Oct 8.
- Win, 1–0 against Brynas, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Skellefteå, after overtime, Oct 1.
- Loss, 1–2 against Frölunda, Sep 26.
- Win, 4–2 against Vaxjo, Oct 10. Odds: Orebro 2.32, Vaxjo 2.60.
- Loss, 1–2 at Djurgarden, Oct 8.
- Loss, 1–4 against Luleå, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 at HV 71, after overtime, Oct 1.
- Win, 3–0 against Skellefteå, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 02:45 2 min Malmo: Born I. Tripping
- 17:34 Goal Malmo: Persson C. assists: Dahlbeck K., Hanzl R. 1-0
2nd period3-0
- 01:44 2 min Orebro: Gustafsson G. Delay of game
- 05:52 2 min Orebro: Kossila K. Tripping
- 05:54 2 min Orebro: Veronneau M. Tripping
- 06:38 Goal PPG Malmo: Persson C. assists: Pajuniemi L., Kuokkanen J. 2-0
- 14:50 2 min Orebro: Berglund F. Roughing
- 14:50 2 min Malmo: Viro E. Roughing
- 14:50 2 min Malmo: Vesterheim P. Roughing
- 14:50 2 min Orebro: Gustafsson G. Roughing
- 14:50 2 min Orebro: Gustafsson G. Boarding
- 15:53 Goal PPG Malmo: Kuokkanen J. 3-0
- 16:36 Goal Malmo: Persson C. assists: Noren P., Diliberatore P. 4-0
- 18:53 2 min Orebro: Arnesson L. Roughing
- 19:09 2 min Malmo: Eklind O. High sticking
3rd period2-0
- 07:22 2 min Malmo: Eklind O. Interference
- 10:07 2 min Orebro: — Too many men on the ice
- 11:42 Goal Malmo: Diliberatore P. assists: Hanzl R. 5-0
- 12:38 2 min Malmo: Noren P. Tripping
- 18:01 Goal Malmo: Eklind O. assists: Dahlbeck K., Pajuniemi L. 6-0
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Orebro dropped from 2.25 to 2.02 since they were first published.
- In goal: Langhamer M. for Malmo (5-5-0 in the last 10 starts), Larsson F. for Orebro (6-3-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Malmo.
- −1.0 goals away — Orebro averaged 2.8 at home and 1.8 away this season.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAL) | 2.36 | 2.27 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.83 | 3.73 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (ORE) | 2.67 | 2.83 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5 | 5 | No change |
| Handicap MAL | −0.5 | −0.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
SHL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 1.393 | 58 | 17 | +41 | |
| 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 31 | .969 | 55 | 39 | +16 | |
| 3 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 1.077 | 47 | 28 | +19 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 42 | 31 | +11 | |
| 5 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 22 | .786 | 37 | 33 | +4 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | .769 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | .692 | 33 | 35 | −2 | |
| 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 18 | .692 | 25 | 28 | −3 | |
| 9 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .607 | 30 | 39 | −9 | |
| 10 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 17 | .654 | 26 | 41 | −15 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 15 | .577 | 38 | 36 | +2 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 15 | .536 | 33 | 47 | −14 | |
| 13 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 12 | .429 | 27 | 51 | −24 | |
| 14 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 10 | .385 | 31 | 48 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Malmo host Orebro in the SHL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.