Manchester vs Belfast prediction
Chance to win · 30% and 47% in regulation
Deridder D.StartedSV 92.4% · GAA 2.63 · 4-4-1
Kupsky J.StartedSV 95.6% · GAA 1.20 · 7-2-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostBelfastodds down 1.82Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU6.5odds down 1.35Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonManchester +1.51.54Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonBelfastodds down 1.49Confidence 62%
- Double chanceWonBelfast or drawodds up 1.30Confidence 71%
- Draw no betPushBelfastodds down 1.37Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostBelfastodds down 2.24Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 77%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Manchester 2–3
Belfast Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–11st period1–118%chance
- Highest scoring periodLostTieMost goals3rd · 4 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-1, 1-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 13+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formManchester
Belfast
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Manchester 3–2
Belfast - Mar 29, 2026: Manchester 4, Belfast 3.
- Jan 25, 2026: Manchester 3, Belfast 2, after overtime.
- Jan 11, 2026: Belfast 4, Manchester 1.
- Jan 3, 2026: Manchester 4, Belfast 6.
- Nov 15, 2025: Belfast 1, Manchester 2, after overtime.
Last five games
Manchester
1-2-2 - Overtime loss, 3–4 at Guildford, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Guildford 1.77, Manchester 3.16.
- Loss, 3–4 against Sheffield, Oct 11.
- Overtime loss, 1–2 against Nottingham, after a shootout, Oct 10.
- Win, 4–3 at Dundee, after overtime, Oct 7.
- Loss, 1–3 at Coventry, Oct 4.
Belfast
4-1-0 - Win, 4–1 against Glasgow, Oct 17. Odds: Belfast 1.18, Glasgow 11.00.
- Loss, 2–5 at Cardiff, Oct 11. Odds: Cardiff 1.87, Belfast 3.20.
- Win, 1–0 at Coventry, Oct 10. Odds: Coventry 2.95, Belfast 1.76.
- Win, 4–0 against Dundee, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–1 at Dundee, Oct 2.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-1
- 12:48 Goal PPG Manchester: Maksimovich K. assists: Gilmour B., Cutler B. 1-0
- 14:11 Goal Belfast: Guay N. assists: Lee M., Kawaguchi J. 1-1
2nd period0-2
- 06:08 Goal Belfast: Guay P. 1-2
- 10:32 Goal Belfast: Prefontaine T. assists: Jensen M. 1-3
3rd period3-1
- 06:25 Goal Belfast: Conway S. assists: Piccinich J. 1-4
- 11:56 Goal Manchester: Maksimovich K. assists: McGauley T., Hook L. 2-4
- 19:08 Goal PPG Manchester: Gilmour B. assists: Cutler B., Dow D. 3-4
- 19:46 Goal Manchester: Karlsson A. assists: Cutler B., Maksimovich K. 4-4
Overtime0-1
- 02:04 Goal Belfast: Guay P. assists: Pearson K. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Manchester and Belfast played yesterday.
- 3-game losing streak for Manchester coming into this game.
- In goal: Deridder D. for Manchester (4-4-1 in the last 9 starts), Kupsky J. for Belfast (7-2-1 in the last 10 starts).
- Goal differential gap of 2.5 per game — Manchester −0.5, Belfast +2.0 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Manchester.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAN) | 4.00 | 4.00 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.60 | 4.60 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (BEL) | 1.63 | 1.63 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAN | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Elite League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cardiff |
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 27 | 15 | +12 |
| 2 | Belfast |
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 28 | 16 | +12 |
| 3 |  Sheffield |
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | .650 | 34 | 26 | +8 |
| 4 |  Coventry |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 26 | 15 | +11 |
| 5 | Manchester |
10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .550 | 25 | 26 | −1 |
| 6 |  Guildford |
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .500 | 32 | 39 | −7 |
| 7 |  Fife |
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .438 | 25 | 26 | −1 |
| 8 |  Nottingham |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 15 | 17 | −2 |
| 9 |  Dundee |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | .286 | 14 | 28 | −14 |
| 10 |  Glasgow |
9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | .111 | 12 | 30 | −18 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Manchester host Belfast in the Elite League on Sunday, October 18, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.