Manchester vs Cardiff Prediction & Picks

Best tip of the gameBest tip Double chance Won

Cardiff or draw 1.38

Confidence64%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 64%

Full game

1X2LostCardiffodds down 2.05Confidence 51%
Over/UnderWonU6.51.46Confidence 71%
HandicapWonManchester +1.51.40Confidence 67%
Winner (incl. OT)LostCardiff1.63Confidence 53%
Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonCardiff or drawodds down 1.38Confidence 64%
Draw no betPushCardiff1.62Confidence 54%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostDraw2.60Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; a fallback pick in an evenly matched game; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Manchester 23

Cardiff

Final 4–3

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 7

Draw after 60 minDraw 23% Went to a shootout

CAR to winTo win 53% MAN won

Score details

Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min3–34%chance
1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period0–213%chance
Highest scoring periodWonTieMost goalsTie · all three27%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 2-3
By period 1-1, 1-1, 0-1
Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (4%)

Team stats

Shots & goaltending

Special teams

Possession & hits

Built on 16+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it

Season so far

Season and recent form

Season

Season record2-4-36-3-0

Home / road split1-2-11-3-0

StreakL2W1

Rest1 dayBack-to-back

Goals for2.72.9

Goals against3.42.6

In the standings6th2nd

Per game · last 10 each

Goal differential per game−0.5+1.4

Goals for2.53.1

Goals against3.01.7

Shots on goal30.032.9

Shots against34.027.5

Shooting %8.3%9.4%

Save %91.5%93.8%

Power-play %24.0%28.6%

Penalty kill %89.7%77.3%

Faceoff %54.2%49.9%

Penalty minutes6.56.1

Blocked shots5.47.8

Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.

Head-to-head

Manchester 14

Cardiff

Cardiff won four of the last five meetings

Goals a gameGoals 4.6 MAN 1.6 · CAR 3.0

Over 5.5 goalsOver 5.5 2 of 5 This game’s line

Past 60 minutesOvertime 1 of 5 1 in a shootout

Oct 3, 2026: Cardiff 2, Manchester 0.
Sep 18, 2026: Cardiff 4, Manchester 2.
Mar 28, 2026: Cardiff 4, Manchester 1.
Jan 17, 2026: Cardiff 4, Manchester 3, after a shootout.
Jan 10, 2026: Manchester 2, Cardiff 1.

Last five games

Manchester 1-2-2

Loss, 1–2 against Coventry, Oct 30. Odds: Manchester 2.15, Coventry 2.50.
Loss, 2–5 at Sheffield, Oct 28. Odds: Sheffield 1.70, Manchester 3.35.
Win, 6–2 at Fife, Oct 24. Odds: Fife 2.47, Manchester 2.28.
Overtime loss, 4–5 against Belfast, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Manchester 4.00, Belfast 1.63.
Overtime loss, 3–4 at Guildford, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Guildford 1.77, Manchester 3.16.

Cardiff 3-1-1

Win, 6–1 against Guildford, Oct 31. Odds: Cardiff 1.59, Guildford 3.60.
Loss, 1–4 against Belfast, Oct 28. Odds: Cardiff 2.05, Belfast 2.65.
Win, 4–2 at Nottingham, Oct 25. Odds: Nottingham 2.45, Cardiff 2.15.
Win, 1–0 against Sheffield, Oct 24. Odds: Cardiff 1.93, Sheffield 2.89.
Overtime loss, 2–3 at Dundee, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Dundee 5.75, Cardiff 1.30.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

Game timeline

1st period0-2

02:55 Goal Cardiff: Oligny J. assists: Olischefski K., MacDonald J. 0-1
05:18 Goal Cardiff: Caron T. assists: Oligny J. 0-2

2nd period1-1

00:32 Goal Manchester: Johnson S. assists: Dow D., Maksimovich K. 1-2
15:23 Goal Cardiff: Caron T. assists: Estes B. 1-3

3rd period2-0

07:43 Goal Manchester: Johnson S. assists: Dudek J. 2-3
17:28 Goal Manchester: McGauley T. assists: Dow D., Karlsson A. 3-3

Overtime0-0

No goals or penalties.

Shootout2-0

Round 1 Maksimovich K. scored Martin J. missed
Round 2 Johnson S. missed MacDonald J. missed
Round 3 McGauley T. scored Barrow R. missed
Round 4 — Caron T. missed

Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.

Key insights

Second game in two days for Cardiff, who played yesterday.
In goal: Deridder D. for Manchester (5-4-1 in the last 10 starts), Stoever C. for Cardiff (9-1-0 in the last 10 starts).
Goal differential gap of 1.9 per game — Manchester −0.5, Cardiff +1.4 over their recent games.
4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Cardiff.
−1.6 goals away — Cardiff averaged 3.6 at home and 2.0 away this season.

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (MAN)	2.65	2.65	No change
1X2: X (draw)	4.15	4.15	No change
1X2: 2 (CAR)	2.02	2.02	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap MAN	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

Challenge Cup standings

Regular Season · Group A

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%	GF	GA	+/−
1	Sheffield	10	7	3	0	14	.700	34	23	+11
2	Cardiff	10	6	3	1	13	.650	29	27	+2
3	Guildford	10	5	3	2	12	.600	34	31	+3
4	Nottingham	10	5	3	2	12	.600	28	30	−2
5	Coventry	10	4	5	1	9	.450	25	33	−8
6	Manchester	10	3	4	3	9	.450	28	34	−6

Playoffs: Semi-finals
Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.

Manchester vs Cardiff prediction

All predictions

Full game

1st period

Predicted final score

Score details