Manchester vs Coventry prediction
Chance to win · 43% and 35% in regulation
Deridder D.StartedSV 92% · GAA 2.80 · 5-3-2
Fitzpatrick E.StartedSV 88.6% · GAA 3.40 · 3-6-1All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostManchesterodds down 2.22Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonU6.51.67Confidence 70%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonCoventry +1.51.36Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostManchesterodds down 1.75Confidence 55%
- Double chanceLostManchester or drawodds down 1.44Confidence 66%
- Draw no betLostManchester1.72Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostManchester2.57Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.67Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Manchester 3–2
Coventry Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–17%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 2-0, 0-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 2-1 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 14+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formManchester
Coventry
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Manchester 1–4
Coventry - Oct 4, 2026: Coventry 3, Manchester 1.
- Sep 19, 2026: Coventry 3, Manchester 5.
- Mar 13, 2026: Manchester 1, Coventry 2.
- Feb 22, 2026: Coventry 2, Manchester 1, after overtime.
- Feb 1, 2026: Coventry 4, Manchester 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Manchester
1-2-2 - Loss, 2–5 at Sheffield, Oct 28. Odds: Sheffield 1.70, Manchester 3.35.
- Win, 6–2 at Fife, Oct 24. Odds: Fife 2.47, Manchester 2.28.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Belfast, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Manchester 4.00, Belfast 1.63.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Guildford, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Guildford 1.77, Manchester 3.16.
- Loss, 3–4 against Sheffield, Oct 11.
Coventry
2-2-1 - Loss, 3–5 against Guildford, Oct 25. Odds: Coventry 2.30, Guildford 2.30.
- Loss, 1–2 at Guildford, Oct 24. Odds: Guildford 1.92, Coventry 2.86.
- Win, 2–1 against Nottingham, after a shootout, Oct 18. Odds: Coventry 2.65, Nottingham 2.02.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Cardiff, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: Cardiff 1.63, Coventry 3.73.
- Win, 8–2 against Dundee, Oct 11. Odds: Coventry 1.38, Dundee 5.71.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 13:11 Goal Coventry: Perlini B. assists: Russell C., Boysen W. 0-1
2nd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
3rd period1-1
- 01:26 Goal Coventry: Gleason M. assists: Grima N., Nielsen A. 0-2
- 16:06 Goal Manchester: Locke K. assists: Dudek J. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Coventry, 1 for Manchester.
- In goal: Deridder D. for Manchester (5-3-2 in the last 10 starts), Fitzpatrick E. for Coventry (3-6-1 in the last 10 starts).
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Coventry.
- −1.0 goals away — Coventry averaged 3.0 at home and 2.0 away this season.
- 1-2-2 in the last five for Manchester.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAN) | 2.18 | 2.15 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (COV) | 2.45 | 2.50 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAN | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Challenge Cup standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sheffield |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 14 | .700 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 2 |  Cardiff |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 29 | 27 | +2 |
| 3 |  Guildford |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 34 | 31 | +3 |
| 4 |  Nottingham |
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | .600 | 28 | 30 | −2 |
| 5 | Coventry |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 9 | .450 | 25 | 33 | −8 |
| 6 | Manchester |
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | .450 | 28 | 34 | −6 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Manchester host Coventry in the Challenge Cup on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.