Manchester vs Sheffield prediction
Chance to win · 32% and 45% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonSheffieldodds down 1.83Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonU6.5odds up 1.38Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonManchester +1.51.52Confidence 66%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonSheffieldodds up 1.44Confidence 60%
- Double chanceWonSheffield or drawodds down 1.33Confidence 70%
- Draw no betWonSheffield1.39Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostSheffieldodds down 2.22Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.82Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreWon2–3After 60 min2–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 3 goals27%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 1-2 (3%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 18+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Nov 7, 2026: Sheffield 1, Manchester 3.
- Oct 28, 2026: Sheffield 5, Manchester 2.
- Oct 11, 2026: Manchester 3, Sheffield 4.
- Apr 18, 2026: Sheffield 6, Manchester 0.
- Feb 7, 2026: Manchester 2, Sheffield 5.
Last five games
- Win, 4–3 against Cardiff, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Manchester 2.65, Cardiff 2.02.
- Loss, 1–2 against Coventry, Oct 30. Odds: Manchester 2.15, Coventry 2.50.
- Loss, 2–5 at Sheffield, Oct 28. Odds: Sheffield 1.70, Manchester 3.35.
- Win, 6–2 at Fife, Oct 24. Odds: Fife 2.47, Manchester 2.28.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 against Belfast, after overtime, Oct 18. Odds: Manchester 4.00, Belfast 1.63.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Coventry, after a shootout, Nov 1. Odds: Coventry 3.00, Sheffield 1.77.
- Win, 4–2 against Nottingham, Oct 31. Odds: Sheffield 1.67, Nottingham 3.30.
- Win, 5–2 against Manchester, Oct 28. Odds: Sheffield 1.70, Manchester 3.35.
- Win, 6–3 against Fife, Oct 25. Odds: Sheffield 1.27, Fife 6.00.
- Loss, 0–1 at Cardiff, Oct 24. Odds: Cardiff 1.93, Sheffield 2.89.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period1-2
- 07:02 Goal Sheffield: Juusola M. 0-1
- 12:16 Goal Sheffield: Jasper E. assists: Juusola M., Whistle B. 0-2
- 14:02 Goal Manchester: Dow D. 1-2
3rd period1-1
- 09:37 Goal Sheffield: Jasper E. assists: Archambault O. 1-3
- 10:12 Goal Manchester: Cutler B. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Manchester −0.3, Sheffield +1.1 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Sheffield.
- 6.2 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 5th vs 3rd in the Elite League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAN) | 2.90 | 2.90 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.50 | 4.50 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SHE) | 1.83 | 1.83 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAN | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Elite League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15 | .833 | 27 | 15 | +12 | |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | .875 | 28 | 16 | +12 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | .650 | 34 | 26 | +8 | |
| 4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | .750 | 26 | 15 | +11 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 11 | .550 | 25 | 26 | −1 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | .500 | 32 | 39 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | .438 | 25 | 26 | −1 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | .500 | 15 | 17 | −2 | |
| 9 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | .286 | 14 | 28 | −14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | .111 | 12 | 30 | −18 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Manchester host Sheffield in the Elite League on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.