Manitoba Moose vs Texas Stars prediction
Chance to win · 44% and 33% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%Full game
- 1X2WonManitobaodds up 2.05Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds up 1.56Confidence 52%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostTexas +1.5odds down 1.37Confidence 65%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonManitobaodds up 1.68Confidence 56%
- Double chanceWonManitoba or drawodds up 1.42Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonManitobaodds up 1.72Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 87%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostManitobaodds up 2.62Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.69Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Manitoba 4–3
Texas Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–3After 60 min7–42%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–27%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 6 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-3
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 4-3 (2%), 5-4 (1%), 6-5 (0%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Built on 20+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formManitoba Moose
Texas Stars
Per-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
Manitoba 4–1
Texas - Nov 10, 2026: Texas Stars 2, Manitoba Moose 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 18, 2026: Manitoba Moose 4, Texas Stars 3, after overtime.
- Apr 12, 2026: Manitoba Moose 4, Texas Stars 3, after overtime.
- Apr 10, 2026: Manitoba Moose 5, Texas Stars 4, after a shootout.
- Feb 7, 2026: Texas Stars 4, Manitoba Moose 3.
Last five games
Manitoba
3-2-0 - Win, 6–1 at Chicago Wolves, Oct 10.
- Loss, 1–2 at Grand Rapids Griffins, Oct 9. Odds: Grand Rapids 2.70, Manitoba 2.16.
- Win, 8–3 against Chicago Wolves, Oct 4.
- Win, 3–0 against Chicago Wolves, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–5 at Grand Rapids Griffins, May 8.
Texas
1-3-1 - Loss, 1–6 at Hershey Bears, Oct 11. Odds: Hershey 2.63, Texas 2.20.
- Loss, 1–2 at Hershey Bears, Oct 10. Odds: Hershey 2.95, Texas 1.92.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 against Iowa Wild, after a shootout, Oct 3.
- Win, 4–3 against Iowa Wild, after a shootout, Oct 2.
- Loss, 1–6 at Chicago Wolves, May 5.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-2
- 03:27 Goal Texas Stars: Shlaine A. assists: Fitzgerald C., Seminoff M. 0-1
- 07:01 Goal PPG Texas Stars: Hryckowian D. assists: Shlaine A., Seminoff M. 0-2
2nd period3-0
- 03:21 Goal Manitoba Moose: Wahlin L. assists: Yager B. 1-2
- 10:06 Goal Manitoba Moose: Chibrikov N. assists: Wahlin L. 2-2
- 11:01 Goal Manitoba Moose: Freij A. 3-2
3rd period4-2
- 01:42 Goal Texas Stars: Minnetian A. assists: Sgarbossa M., Burroughs K. 3-3
- 02:53 Goal Manitoba Moose: Yager B. 4-3
- 08:56 Goal Manitoba Moose: Barlow C. assists: Julien J., Thrun H. 5-3
- 09:37 Goal Manitoba Moose: Yager B. assists: Wahlin L., Sautner A. 6-3
- 15:02 Goal Texas Stars: Sgarbossa M. assists: Looft K., Rickwood E. 6-4
- 18:23 Goal ENG Manitoba Moose: Zhilkin D. 7-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Texas Stars coming into this game.
- Goal differential gap of 1.4 per game — Manitoba Moose +0.8, Texas Stars −0.6 over their recent games.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Manitoba Moose.
- Save % gap: Manitoba Moose 94.3%, Texas Stars 88.9% over their recent games.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAN) | 2.50 | 2.50 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 3.75 | 3.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (TEX) | 2.07 | 2.07 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAN | −0.5 | +0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
AHL standings
Regular Season · Central Division
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Grand Rapids Griffins |
14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 56 | 35 | +21 |
| 2 | Manitoba Moose |
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 22 | .733 | 56 | 38 | +18 |
| 3 |  Milwaukee Admirals |
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 16 | .615 | 33 | 28 | +5 |
| 4 |  Iowa Wild |
16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | .469 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 5 |  Chicago Wolves |
13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .500 | 36 | 46 | −10 |
| 6 |  Rockford IceHogs |
13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 11 | .423 | 33 | 43 | −10 |
| 7 | Texas Stars |
14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 9 | .321 | 40 | 60 | −20 |
- Playoffs
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Manitoba Moose host Texas Stars in the AHL on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.