Mariestad vs Vita Hasten prediction
Chance to win · 59% and 22% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostMariestad2.38Confidence 57%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.30Confidence 71%
- HandicapWonMariestad +1.51.36Confidence 78%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMariestadodds up 1.90Confidence 70%
- Double chanceLostMariestad or drawodds down 1.58Confidence 70%
- Draw no betLostMariestadodds down 1.88Confidence 62%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMariestadodds up 2.70Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.74Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Mariestad 4–1
Vita Hasten Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min1–24%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · all three29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonMariestad
Vita Hasten
Head-to-head
Mariestad 2–0
Vita Hasten - Dec 14, 2025: Mariestad 2, Vita Hasten 1.
- Oct 1, 2025: Vita Hasten 2, Mariestad 3, after overtime.
Last five games
Mariestad
5-0-0 - Win, 5–2 at Kungalvs, Oct 18. Odds: Kungalvs 6.90, Mariestad 1.30.
- Win, 3–2 against Boras, Oct 16. Odds: Mariestad 2.91, Boras 1.98.
- Win, 7–4 against Vastervik, Oct 11.
- Win, 10–1 at Grums, Oct 9. Odds: Grums 4.10, Mariestad 1.56.
- Win, 4–2 against Mjolby, Oct 2.
Vita Hasten
4-0-1 - Win, 5–2 at Grums, Oct 16. Odds: Grums 6.75, Vita Hasten 1.30.
- Win, 2–1 against Karlskrona, Oct 9. Odds: Vita Hasten 2.00, Karlskrona 2.70.
- Win, 3–2 against Tyringe, after overtime, Oct 3.
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Boro Vetlanda HC, after overtime, Sep 30.
- Win, 5–4 at Tingsryd, after overtime, Sep 27.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 10:41 Goal Vita Hasten: Edwardsson C. assists: Eriksson M., Ivarsson Hamberg A. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 18:40 Goal Mariestad: Lundman A. assists: Falt A., Amundsen F. 1-1
3rd period0-1
- 01:38 Goal Vita Hasten: Kaijser S. assists: Wahlgren J., Haggstrom L. 1-2
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for Mariestad coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Vita Hasten coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Vita Hasten, 4 for Mariestad.
- 3rd vs 5th in the HockeyEttan Sodra standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAR) | 2.40 | 2.40 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.15 | 4.15 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (VIT) | 2.25 | 2.25 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAR | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
HockeyEttan Sodra standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boras |
12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1.042 | 53 | 25 | +28 |
| 2 |  Tingsryd |
11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 1.136 | 49 | 27 | +22 |
| 3 | Mariestad |
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 51 | 28 | +23 |
| 4 |  Karlskrona |
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 1.150 | 34 | 16 | +18 |
| 5 | Vita Hasten |
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1.100 | 34 | 20 | +14 |
| 6 |  Dalen |
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 1.000 | 34 | 23 | +11 |
| 7 |  Boro Vetlanda HC |
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | .864 | 34 | 33 | +1 |
| 8 |  Halmstad |
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18 | .900 | 33 | 27 | +6 |
| 9 |  Tranas |
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | .773 | 34 | 36 | −2 |
| 10 |  Vastervik |
11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | .727 | 41 | 43 | −2 |
| 11 |  Huddinge |
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .682 | 27 | 33 | −6 |
| 12 |  Tyringe |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 36 | 34 | +2 |
| 13 |  Hanvikens |
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14 | .636 | 31 | 36 | −5 |
| 14 |  Kungalvs |
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 14 | .636 | 33 | 42 | −9 |
| 15 |  Mjolby |
10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13 | .650 | 33 | 32 | +1 |
| 16 |  Troja/Ljungby |
11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .455 | 30 | 47 | −17 |
| 17 |  Morrums GoIS |
11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 23 | 41 | −18 |
| 18 |  Grastorps |
11 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 9 | .409 | 25 | 47 | −22 |
| 19 |  Nykoping |
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | .409 | 15 | 43 | −28 |
| 20 |  Grums |
10 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 6 | .300 | 24 | 41 | −17 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Mariestad host Vita Hasten in the HockeyEttan Sodra on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.