Marseille vs Amiens prediction
Chance to win · 64% and 18% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2LostMarseille1.72Confidence 66%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds down 1.50Confidence 71%
- HandicapLostMarseille -1.5odds up 2.15Confidence 56%
- Best tip of the game: Winner (incl. OT)LostMarseilleodds up 1.43Confidence 76%
- Double chanceWonMarseille or drawodds up 1.22Confidence 82%
- Draw no betPushMarseille1.39Confidence 78%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 85%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMarseille2.22Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.85Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min2–27%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period0–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon2nd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals28%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 4-1
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 0-0
- Likeliest 4-1 (7%), 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%)
Team stats
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Shots & goaltending
Special teams
Possession & hits
Built on 18+ games of full box scores a team — no betting odds in it
Season so far
Season and recent formPer-game figures from the games with full stats, all competitions.
Head-to-head
- Oct 16, 2026: Amiens 5, Marseille 4.
- Mar 1, 2026: Amiens 2, Marseille 1, after overtime.
- Jan 13, 2026: Marseille 1, Amiens 0, after a shootout.
- Oct 26, 2025: Marseille 4, Amiens 0.
- Oct 24, 2025: Amiens 5, Marseille 6, after a shootout.
Last five games
- Overtime loss, 3–4 at Anglet, after overtime, Oct 25. Odds: Anglet 2.75, Marseille 2.02.
- Win, 3–2 against Anglet, Oct 23. Odds: Marseille 1.47, Anglet 4.70.
- Win, 10–0 at Morzine-Avoriaz, Oct 20. Odds: Morzine-Avoriaz 13.20, Marseille 1.08.
- Loss, 4–5 at Amiens, Oct 16. Odds: Amiens 2.39, Marseille 2.39.
- Loss, 0–3 at Rouen, Oct 15. Odds: Rouen 1.55, Marseille 3.50.
- Win, 5–2 against Bordeaux, Oct 25. Odds: Amiens 3.10, Bordeaux 1.83.
- Loss, 1–8 at Bordeaux, Oct 23. Odds: Bordeaux 1.45, Amiens 5.10.
- Win, 17–1 at Dijon, Oct 21.
- Win, 5–4 against Marseille, Oct 16. Odds: Amiens 2.39, Marseille 2.39.
- Win, 3–2 at Briancon, Oct 9. Odds: Briancon 2.04, Amiens 2.65.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-0
No goals or penalties.
2nd period2-2
- 08:28 Goal Marseille: Dair F. assists: Joubert P. 1-0
- 10:53 Goal Marseille: Spinozzi K. assists: Da Costa T., Tavernier E. 2-0
- 12:17 Goal Amiens: Girouard N. assists: Craig K., Schmitt C. 2-1
- 19:24 Goal Amiens: Seitz N. assists: Craig K., Magee B. 2-2
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime0-1
- 00:31 Goal Amiens: Craig K. assists: Girouard N., Vertanen J. 2-3
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 5-1-0 at home for Marseille this season.
- Goal differential gap of 1.5 per game — Marseille +0.8, Amiens −0.7 over their recent games.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Marseille.
- −1.0 goals away — Amiens averaged 3.2 at home and 2.2 away this season.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Amiens.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAR) | 1.72 | 1.83 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.20 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (AMI) | 3.50 | 3.10 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAR | −1.5 | −0.5 | Line moved |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Ligue Magnus standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 1.250 | 60 | 29 | +31 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 51 | 29 | +22 | |
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | .933 | 48 | 40 | +8 | |
| 4 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | .786 | 45 | 52 | −7 | |
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22 | .733 | 40 | 39 | +1 | |
| 6 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 21 | .750 | 39 | 42 | −3 | |
| 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 45 | 40 | +5 | |
| 8 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 38 | 45 | −7 | |
| 9 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20 | .714 | 42 | 42 | 0 | |
| 10 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 16 | .571 | 34 | 50 | −16 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 13 | .464 | 27 | 39 | −12 | |
| 12 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 7 | .250 | 29 | 51 | −22 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Play Out
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Marseille host Amiens in the Ligue Magnus on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.