Martin vs Nove Zamky prediction
Chance to win · 61% and 23% in regulation
Matovcik P.Started5-5-0
Marinov M.Surprise startSV 86.6% · GAA 3.86 · 3-5-2All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2LostMartin1.41Confidence 63%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO5.51.40Confidence 70%
- HandicapLostMartin -0.5Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMartin1.22Confidence 71%
- Double chanceLostMartin or draw1.10Confidence 79%
- Draw no betLostMartinConfidence 75%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonMartinConfidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.60Confidence 58%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Martin 5–2
Nove Zamky Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min4–56%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–010%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost2nd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 2-1, 1-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (6%), 4-2 (4%), 6-3 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonMartin
Nove Zamky
Head-to-head
Martin 3–2
Nove Zamky - Sep 23, 2026: Nove Zamky 4, Martin 6.
- Feb 1, 2026: Nove Zamky 3, Martin 2.
- Dec 28, 2025: Martin 6, Nove Zamky 5.
- Nov 14, 2025: Nove Zamky 3, Martin 2.
- Oct 3, 2025: Martin 6, Nove Zamky 5.
Last five games
Martin
4-1-0 - Win, 3–1 at Dubnica, Oct 23. Odds: Dubnica 2.15, Martin 2.50.
- Win, 8–5 at Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 21. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 2.05, Martin 2.75.
- Loss, 1–3 against HC 19 Humenne, Oct 18. Odds: Martin 2.00, Humenne 2.75.
- Win, 3–1 at HK Detva, Oct 16. Odds: Detva 3.65, Martin 1.68.
- Win, 4–3 against Topolcany, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: Martin 1.53, Topolcany 4.40.
Nove Zamky
2-2-1 - Win, 4–2 at Topolcany, Oct 23. Odds: Topolcany 1.75, Nove Zamky 3.35.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 at HK Levice, after overtime, Oct 21. Odds: Levice 2.08, Nove Zamky 2.65.
- Loss, 1–2 against Skalica, Oct 18. Odds: Nove Zamky 3.45, Skalica 1.67.
- Win, 3–1 at Trnava, Oct 16. Odds: Trnava 1.76, Nove Zamky 3.26.
- Loss, 4–5 at Ziar nad Hronom, Oct 9. Odds: Ziar nad Hronom 1.52, Nove Zamky 4.45.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period1-0
- 11:40 Goal PPG Martin: Fafrak M. assists: Jakubik J., Pauliny A. 1-0
2nd period2-2
- 06:25 Goal Nove Zamky: Botka S. assists: Brejcak M., Mucka M. 1-1
- 09:08 Goal SHG Nove Zamky: Sisovsky P. 1-2
- 10:22 Goal PPG Martin: Rusina T. assists: Viedensky M., Zaborsky T. 2-2
- 11:46 Goal Martin: Barto M. assists: Pauliny A., Mysiak J. 3-2
3rd period1-3
- 02:11 Goal Nove Zamky: Barilla D. assists: Mucka M., Sisovsky P. 3-3
- 13:11 Goal Nove Zamky: Ondrusek R. assists: Poncak S., Hajnik D. 3-4
- 18:55 Goal Nove Zamky: Ondrusek R. assists: Poncak S., Belchamber A. 3-5
- 19:23 Goal Martin: Barto M. assists: Zaborsky T., Fafrak M. 4-5
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Surprise in goal: Marinov M. started for Nove Zamky, not Dubek M..
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Martin.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Martin.
- 8.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.5.
- 2nd vs 8th in the 1. Liga standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAR) | 1.42 | 1.44 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.85 | Drifted |
| 1X2: 2 (NOV) | 5.20 | 5.00 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 6.5 | 6.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAR | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
1. Liga standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  HC 19 Humenne |
15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 1.100 | 50 | 34 | +16 |
| 2 | Martin |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 58 | 42 | +16 |
| 3 |  Skalica |
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 27 | .900 | 61 | 45 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ziar nad Hronom |
15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27 | .900 | 49 | 39 | +10 |
| 5 |  Dubnica |
15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 26 | .867 | 61 | 57 | +4 |
| 6 |  TEBS Bratislava |
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 24 | .800 | 47 | 48 | −1 |
| 7 |  HK Detva |
15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 22 | .733 | 47 | 42 | +5 |
| 8 | Nove Zamky |
14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | .786 | 53 | 52 | +1 |
| 9 |  Topolcany |
15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 21 | .700 | 51 | 48 | +3 |
| 10 |  Trnava |
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 19 | .679 | 37 | 40 | −3 |
| 11 |  HK Levice |
16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 18 | .563 | 47 | 58 | −11 |
| 12 |  Povazska Bystrica |
15 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 8 | .267 | 31 | 54 | −23 |
| 13 |  Slovakia U18 |
8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | .188 | 8 | 41 | −33 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
- Relegation
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Martin host Nove Zamky in the 1. Liga on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.