Massachusetts Lowell vs Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction & Picks

NCAA Friday, October 16, 2026Fri · Oct 16

HomeMassachusetts LowellLowell15-1-23rd in the standingsWLLWL

45 FT Puck drop 19:15 ET 2.452.05

1st 2nd 3rd

MAS 2 0 2

ASS 3 1 1

USAUSA

AwayArizona State Sun DevilsState Sun Devils13-3-03rd in the standingsWLLWL

52%Massachusetts Lowell win · 42% in regulationMAS Overtime or shootout · 21%OT / SO 21% 48%Arizona State Sun Devils win · 37% in regulationASS

Chance to win · 42% and 37% in regulation

Best tip of the gameBest tip Over/Under Won

O4.5 1.29

Confidence69%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Full game

1X2LostUMass Lowell2.57Confidence 51%
Best tip of the game: Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.29Confidence 69%
HandicapWonUMass Lowell +1.5odds up 1.36Confidence 64%
Winner (incl. OT)LostUMass Lowellodds up 1.98Confidence 51%
Double chanceLostUMass Lowell or drawodds down 1.55Confidence 62%
Draw no betLostUMass Lowell1.98Confidence 51%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.06Confidence 83%

1st period

1st period 1X2LostUMass Lowell2.85Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.73Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

UMass Lowell 41

Arizona State

Final 4–5

Total goalsTotal 5 Actual 9

Draw after 60 minDraw 21% Decided in regulation

MAS to winTo win 52% ASS won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–1After 60 min4–54%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–37%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 5 goals31%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-1
By period 2-0, 0-0, 2-1
Likeliest 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (3%), 3-2 (3%)

Last five games

UMass Lowell 2-3-0

Win, 4–2 against St. Lawrence Saints, Oct 10.
Loss, 2–3 against Clarkson Golden Knights, Oct 9. Odds: UMass Lowell 2.27, Clarkson 2.55.
Loss, 3–5 at Merrimack Warriors, Mar 11.
Win, 4–3 against Boston University Terriers, Mar 7.
Loss, 3–5 at Merrimack Warriors, Mar 5.

Arizona State 2-3-0

Win, 5–4 against Holy Cross Crusaders, after overtime, Oct 10.
Loss, 1–2 against Holy Cross Crusaders, Oct 9. Odds: Arizona State 1.67, Holy Cross 3.85.
Loss, 6–9 at Lindenwood Lions, Oct 3.
Win, 5–0 at Lindenwood Lions, Oct 2.
Loss, 1–4 at Denver Pioneers, Feb 28.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (MAS)	2.45	2.45	No change
1X2: X (draw)	3.65	3.65	No change
1X2: 2 (ASS)	2.05	2.05	No change
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap MAS	+1.5	+1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NCAA standings

NCAA · Hockey East

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Boston University Terriers	28	20	0	0	113	2.018
2	Connecticut Huskies	30	18	2	0	98	1.633
3	Massachusetts Lowell	28	15	1	2	74	1.321
4	Northeastern Huskies	29	13	2	0	90	1.552
5	Merrimack Warriors	29	16	4	1	82	1.414
6	Providence Friars	30	13	2	1	92	1.533
7	Maine Black Bears	29	13	1	1	76	1.310
8	Massachusetts Minutemen	27	10	3	0	76	1.407
9	Boston College Eagles	28	10	1	2	75	1.339
10	New Hampshire Wildcats	30	11	3	0	67	1.117
11	Vermont Catamounts	29	9	2	1	56	.966

NCAA · Independents

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Stonehill	13	8	0	1	54	2.077
2	Alaska Nanooks	28	16	2	0	75	1.339
3	Arizona State Sun Devils	31	13	3	0	82	1.323
4	Long Island Sharks	26	9	4	0	81	1.558
5	Lindenwood Lions	24	7	1	0	80	1.667
6	Alaska Anchorage	20	4	3	0	37	.925

Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.

Massachusetts Lowell host Arizona State Sun Devils in the NCAA on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.