Massachusetts Lowell vs Providence Friars prediction
Chance to win · 19% and 63% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Full game
- 1X2WonProvidence1.35Confidence 58%
- Over/UnderLostO5.51.87Confidence 53%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostUMass Lowell +2.5odds down 1.65Confidence 60%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonProvidenceodds down 1.20Confidence 61%
- Double chanceWonProvidence or drawodds down 1.11Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonProvidence1.14Confidence 63%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYes1.15Confidence 82%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonProvidenceodds down 1.88Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.90Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 2 games.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
UMass Lowell 2–4
Providence Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–4After 60 min0–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–111%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 2 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-4
- By period 0-2, 1-0, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-4 (4%), 3-4 (2%), 3-5 (2%)
Season so far
This seasonMassachusetts Lowell
Providence Friars
Head-to-head
UMass Lowell 2–3
Providence - Oct 24, 2026: Providence Friars 5, Massachusetts Lowell 2.
- Nov 1, 2025: Massachusetts Lowell 5, Providence Friars 1.
- Oct 31, 2025: Providence Friars 5, Massachusetts Lowell 2.
- Feb 22, 2025: Providence Friars 4, Massachusetts Lowell 2.
- Jan 25, 2025: Providence Friars 0, Massachusetts Lowell 1.
Last five games
UMass Lowell
1-4-0 - Loss, 2–4 against Arizona State Sun Devils, Oct 17. Odds: UMass Lowell 2.55, Arizona State 1.98.
- Loss, 4–5 against Arizona State Sun Devils, Oct 16. Odds: UMass Lowell 2.45, Arizona State 2.05.
- Win, 4–2 against St. Lawrence Saints, Oct 10.
- Loss, 2–3 against Clarkson Golden Knights, Oct 9. Odds: UMass Lowell 2.27, Clarkson 2.55.
- Loss, 3–5 at Merrimack Warriors, Mar 11.
Providence
3-1-1 - Win, 3–2 at Union Dutchmen, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Union 3.35, Providence 1.65.
- Win, 4–0 against Clarkson Golden Knights, Oct 10.
- Win, 6–2 against St. Lawrence Saints, Oct 9.
- Loss, 2–5 against Quinnipiac Bobcats, Mar 26.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against Merrimack Warriors, after overtime, Mar 14.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Providence Friars coming into this game.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Providence Friars.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Massachusetts Lowell.
- 5.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 3rd vs 6th in the NCAA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAS) | 6.00 | 6.00 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.75 | 4.75 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (PRO) | 1.36 | 1.36 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAS | +2.5 | +2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Hockey East
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston University Terriers |
28 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 2.018 | 0 |
| 2 |  Connecticut Huskies |
30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 1.633 | 0 |
| 3 | Massachusetts Lowell |
28 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1.321 | 0 |
| 4 |  Northeastern Huskies |
29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 1.552 | 0 |
| 5 |  Merrimack Warriors |
29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 82 | 1.414 | 0 |
| 6 | Providence Friars |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 7 |  Maine Black Bears |
29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.310 | 0 |
| 8 |  Massachusetts Minutemen |
27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 76 | 1.407 | 0 |
| 9 |  Boston College Eagles |
28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 10 |  New Hampshire Wildcats |
30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 1.117 | 0 |
| 11 |  Vermont Catamounts |
29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 56 | .966 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Massachusetts Lowell host Providence Friars in the NCAA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.