Massachusetts Minutemen vs Stonehill prediction
Chance to win · 60% and 21% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Full game
- 1X2WonUMass1.32Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderLostU6.51.50Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonStonehill +2.5odds down 1.75Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonUMass1.18Confidence 69%
- Double chanceWonUMass or draw1.10Confidence 74%
- Draw no betWonUMass1.12Confidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.14Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonUMass1.82Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–1After 60 min5–34%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–01st period2–120%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals2nd · 4 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-1
- By period 1-0, 1-0, 1-1
- Likeliest 3-1 (4%), 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 10, 2025: Stonehill 1, Massachusetts Minutemen 4.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–4 against Northeastern Huskies, Oct 17. Odds: UMass 2.18, Northeastern 2.32.
- Win, 4–1 against Northeastern Huskies, Oct 16. Odds: UMass 2.25, Northeastern 2.25.
- Win, 5–1 against RIT Tigers, Oct 10.
- Overtime loss, 2–3 against RIT Tigers, after a shootout, Oct 9. Odds: UMass 1.57, RIT 4.30.
- Loss, 1–6 at Colorado College Tigers, Oct 3.
- Win, 2–1 at Northern Michigan Wildcats, after overtime, Oct 17. Odds: N. Michigan 2.37, Stonehill 2.15.
- Loss, 1–5 at Northern Michigan Wildcats, Oct 16. Odds: N. Michigan 2.52, Stonehill 2.05.
- Win, 4–2 against Colgate Raiders, Oct 10.
- Win, 2–1 against Colgate Raiders, after overtime, Oct 9. Odds: Stonehill 3.85, Colgate 1.67.
- Loss, 3–4 at Long Island Sharks, Mar 7.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MAS) | 1.35 | 1.35 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 5.00 | 5.00 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (STO) | 6.50 | 6.50 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MAS | −2.5 | −2.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Hockey East
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 2.018 | 0 | |
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 1.633 | 0 | |
| 3 | 28 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1.321 | 0 | |
| 4 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 1.552 | 0 | |
| 5 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 82 | 1.414 | 0 | |
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 | |
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.310 | 0 | |
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 76 | 1.407 | 0 | |
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 | |
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 1.117 | 0 | |
| 11 | 29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 56 | .966 | 0 |
NCAA · Independents
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 54 | 2.077 | 0 | |
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 | |
| 3 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 82 | 1.323 | 0 | |
| 4 | 26 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 81 | 1.558 | 0 | |
| 5 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 80 | 1.667 | 0 | |
| 6 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 37 | .925 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Massachusetts Minutemen host Stonehill in the NCAA on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.