Merano vs Acroni Jesenice prediction
Chance to win · 37% and 41% in regulation
Couture T.Started6-3-0
Ulcar M.Started7-3-0All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2WonJeseniceodds up 1.50Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderWonO4.5odds up 1.36Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapLostMerano +2.5odds down 1.46Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonJeseniceodds down 1.42Confidence 54%
- Double chanceWonJesenice or drawodds up 1.19Confidence 66%
- Draw no betWonJeseniceodds up 1.25Confidence 55%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.12Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2WonJeseniceodds up 2.19Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.51.87Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Merano 2–3
Jesenice Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min1–44%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period0–18%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 2-4 (4%), 3-4 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonMerano
Acroni Jesenice
Head-to-head
Merano 2–3
Jesenice - Jan 10, 2026: Merano 4, Acroni Jesenice 1.
- Nov 14, 2025: Acroni Jesenice 4, Merano 3, after a shootout.
- Oct 11, 2025: Merano 3, Acroni Jesenice 1.
- Jan 30, 2025: Merano 2, Acroni Jesenice 7.
- Jan 3, 2025: Acroni Jesenice 3, Merano 1.
Last five games
Merano
3-2-0 - Loss, 3–6 at Kitzbuhel, Oct 17. Odds: Kitzbuhel 1.75, Merano 2.95.
- Win, 2–1 against KHL Sisak, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Merano 2.74, Sisak 2.01.
- Loss, 1–4 against Ritten, Oct 10. Odds: Merano 3.20, Ritten 1.82.
- Win, 2–1 at Unterland, Oct 8.
- Win, 3–1 at Cortina, Oct 3.
Jesenice
3-2-0 - Loss, 2–4 against Salzburg 2, Oct 20. Odds: Jesenice 1.36, Salzburg II 4.90.
- Win, 4–1 at Unterland, Oct 17. Odds: Unterland 3.90, Jesenice 1.45.
- Win, 3–1 against Kitzbuhel, Oct 15. Odds: Jesenice 1.71, Kitzbuhel 3.31.
- Loss, 3–4 at Eisbaren, Oct 13. Odds: Zeller Eisbaren 2.07, Jesenice 2.40.
- Win, 3–0 against Cortina, Oct 10. Odds: Jesenice 1.80, Cortina 3.25.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 12:05 Goal PPG Acroni Jesenice: Svetina E. assists: Magovac A., Sabolic R. 0-1
2nd period0-2
- 07:25 Goal PPG Acroni Jesenice: Jakupovic A. assists: Wyatt J., Koblar G. 0-2
- 19:38 Goal PPG Acroni Jesenice: Sabolic R. assists: Kapel R., Svetina E. 0-3
3rd period1-1
- 12:21 Goal Merano: Levin M. assists: Sproviero F. 1-3
- 16:54 Goal ENG Acroni Jesenice: Jakupovic A. 1-4
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Rest advantage: 4 days off for Merano, 1 for Acroni Jesenice.
- In goal: Couture T. for Merano (6-3-0 in the last 9 starts), Ulcar M. for Acroni Jesenice (7-3-0 in the last 10 starts).
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Acroni Jesenice.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 6th vs 1st in the Alps Hockey League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MER) | 3.70 | 3.50 | Shortened |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.40 | 4.35 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (ACR) | 1.65 | 1.72 | Drifted |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MER | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Acroni Jesenice |
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 |
| 2 |  Asiago |
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 |
| 3 |  Eisbaren |
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ritten |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 |
| 5 |  Kitzbuhel |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 |
| 6 | Merano |
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 |
| 7 |  Salzburg 2 |
15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 |
| 8 |  KHL Sisak |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 |
| 9 |  Gherdeina |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 10 |  Unterland |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 |
| 11 |  Vipiteno |
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 12 |  Klagenfurt II |
13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 |
| 13 |  Cortina |
13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Merano host Acroni Jesenice in the Alps Hockey League on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.