Merano vs KHL Sisak prediction
Chance to win · 41% and 38% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Full game
- 1X2LostMeranoodds down 2.95Confidence 51%
- Over/UnderLostO4.5odds up 1.36Confidence 71%
- Best tip of the game: HandicapWonMerano +2.5odds down 1.29Confidence 76%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMeranoodds down 2.22Confidence 52%
- Double chanceWonMerano or drawodds down 1.96Confidence 65%
- Draw no betPushMeranoodds down 2.60Confidence 51%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.09Confidence 88%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.50Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds up 1.87Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min1–14%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost1–11st period0–113%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 2nd29%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 1-1, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-1 (4%), 5-2 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Apr 9, 2026: KHL Sisak 2, Merano 3.
- Apr 7, 2026: Merano 4, KHL Sisak 3.
- Apr 4, 2026: KHL Sisak 4, Merano 3, after overtime.
- Apr 2, 2026: Merano 3, KHL Sisak 2, after overtime.
- Apr 1, 2026: Merano 1, KHL Sisak 4.
Last five games
- Loss, 1–4 against Ritten, Oct 10. Odds: Merano 3.20, Ritten 1.82.
- Win, 2–1 at Unterland, Oct 8.
- Win, 3–1 at Cortina, Oct 3.
- Win, 2–1 at Salzburg 2, after a shootout, Oct 1.
- Win, 5–2 against Vipiteno, Sep 26.
- Win, 5–1 against Asiago, Oct 10. Odds: Sisak 2.65, Asiago 2.07.
- Loss, 2–3 at Kitzbuhel, Oct 8.
- Win, 4–1 at Vipiteno, Oct 3.
- Loss, 1–2 against Eisbaren, Oct 1.
- Loss, 3–4 at Salzburg 2, Sep 26.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period0-1
- 11:11 Goal KHL Sisak: Marinkovic K. assists: Tabak A., Brus N. 0-1
2nd period1-0
- 09:39 Goal Merano: Sherbinin B. assists: Sproviero F. 1-1
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Overtime1-0
- 01:37 Goal Merano: Tomasini P. assists: Golser A., Fuchs J. 2-1
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- Surprise in goal: Rosandic V. started for KHL Sisak, not Nikolic V..
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Merano.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for Merano.
- 5.8 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
- 6th vs 8th in the Alps Hockey League standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MER) | 2.74 | 2.74 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.20 | 4.20 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (SIS) | 2.01 | 2.01 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MER | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 | |
| 3 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 | |
| 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 | |
| 5 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 | |
| 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 | |
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 | |
| 10 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 | |
| 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Merano host KHL Sisak in the Alps Hockey League on Friday, October 16, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.