Merano vs Kitzbuhel prediction
Chance to win · 29% and 51% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Full game
- 1X2LostKitzbuhelodds down 1.95Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostO4.51.32Confidence 72%
- HandicapWonMerano +1.5odds down 1.48Confidence 64%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostKitzbuhelodds down 1.62Confidence 56%
- Double chanceLostKitzbuhel or drawodds down 1.36Confidence 65%
- Draw no betLostKitzbuhelodds down 1.53Confidence 65%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)LostYesodds down 1.09Confidence 89%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostKitzbuhel2.28Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds down 1.77Confidence 55%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: the odds drifted 11% since they opened; the league is not yet proven in the model’s replay; the odds drifted 8% since they opened; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Merano 2–3
Kitzbuhel Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–3After 60 min4–04%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period3–08%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 3 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-3
- By period 0-2, 0-0, 2-1
- Likeliest 2-3 (4%), 3-4 (3%), 4-5 (1%)
Season so far
This seasonMerano
Kitzbuhel
Head-to-head
Merano 1–4
Kitzbuhel - Oct 17, 2026: Kitzbuhel 6, Merano 3.
- Feb 19, 2026: Merano 4, Kitzbuhel 1.
- Feb 5, 2026: Kitzbuhel 3, Merano 2, after a shootout.
- Jan 6, 2026: Kitzbuhel 5, Merano 4, after a shootout.
- Dec 4, 2025: Merano 4, Kitzbuhel 5.
Last five games
Merano
1-4-0 - Loss, 1–2 at Salzburg 2, Oct 29. Odds: Salzburg II 1.95, Merano 2.80.
- Loss, 1–7 against Eisbaren, Oct 24. Odds: Merano 2.60, Zeller Eisbaren 2.10.
- Loss, 1–4 against Acroni Jesenice, Oct 22. Odds: Merano 3.50, Jesenice 1.72.
- Loss, 3–6 at Kitzbuhel, Oct 17. Odds: Kitzbuhel 1.75, Merano 2.95.
- Win, 2–1 against KHL Sisak, after overtime, Oct 16. Odds: Merano 2.74, Sisak 2.01.
Kitzbuhel
3-2-0 - Win, 6–3 against Ritten, Nov 5. Odds: Kitzbuhel 2.35, Ritten 2.30.
- Win, 5–1 against Cortina, Oct 31. Odds: Kitzbuhel 1.55, Cortina 4.20.
- Win, 5–4 at Unterland, after overtime, Oct 29. Odds: Unterland 2.85, Kitzbuhel 1.93.
- Loss, 2–4 at Asiago, Oct 25. Odds: Asiago 1.70, Kitzbuhel 3.40.
- Loss, 3–4 at Asiago, Oct 24. Odds: Asiago 2.09, Kitzbuhel 2.50.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Game timeline
1st period3-0
- 04:42 Goal Merano: Utnans K. assists: Sproviero F., Plank L. 1-0
- 04:48 Goal Merano: Levin M. assists: Fuchs J. 2-0
- 09:08 Goal PPG Merano: Oberholler J. assists: Sproviero F., Tomasini P. 3-0
2nd period1-0
- 04:35 Goal PPG Merano: Levin M. assists: Gisonna F., Sproviero F. 4-0
3rd period0-0
No goals or penalties.
Times are the minutes played in each period. PPG power-play goal, SHG short-handed goal, ENG empty-net goal, PS penalty shot. A shootout is won by one goal on the final score.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Merano coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Kitzbuhel coming into this game.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Kitzbuhel.
- −2.0 goals away — Kitzbuhel averaged 5.3 at home and 3.3 away this season.
- 7.4 goals per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the total is 6.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MER) | 3.15 | 3.15 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.35 | 4.20 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (KIT) | 1.83 | 1.83 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 6 | Line raised |
| Handicap MER | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
Alps Hockey League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | GF | GA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Acroni Jesenice |
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36 | 1.125 | 59 | 30 | +29 |
| 2 |  Asiago |
16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 1.063 | 72 | 55 | +17 |
| 3 |  Eisbaren |
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 1.154 | 48 | 32 | +16 |
| 4 |  Ritten |
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1.036 | 51 | 34 | +17 |
| 5 | Kitzbuhel |
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 24 | .800 | 60 | 50 | +10 |
| 6 | Merano |
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 19 | .731 | 30 | 37 | −7 |
| 7 |  Salzburg 2 |
15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .600 | 34 | 54 | −20 |
| 8 |  KHL Sisak |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17 | .654 | 44 | 36 | +8 |
| 9 |  Gherdeina |
13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16 | .615 | 40 | 50 | −10 |
| 10 |  Unterland |
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15 | .536 | 42 | 51 | −9 |
| 11 |  Vipiteno |
12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 14 | .583 | 42 | 47 | −5 |
| 12 |  Klagenfurt II |
13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 10 | .385 | 34 | 57 | −23 |
| 13 |  Cortina |
13 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 8 | .308 | 24 | 47 | −23 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts points, on the league’s own system — the table is sorted by them. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · GF/GA goals for and against · +/− difference.
Merano host Kitzbuhel in the Alps Hockey League on Saturday, November 7, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.