Merrimack Warriors vs Holy Cross Crusaders Prediction & Picks

NCAA Friday, November 6, 2026Fri · Nov 6

HomeMerrimack Warriors16-4-15th in the standingsOTWWWW

62 FT Puck drop 19:00 ET 1.455.00

1st 2nd 3rd

MER 2 1 3

HCC 1 1 0

USAUSA

AwayHoly Cross Crusaders11-1-27th in the standingsLWLWL

70%Merrimack Warriors win · 60% in regulationMER Overtime or shootout · 19%OT / SO 19% 30%Holy Cross Crusaders win · 21% in regulationHCC

Chance to win · 60% and 21% in regulation

Banker of the dayBanker Double chance Won

Merrimack or draw 1.17

Confidence93%

All predictions

9 picks graded · Average confidence 70%

Full game

1X2WonMerrimackodds down 1.49Confidence 62%
Over/UnderWonO4.5odds down 1.36Confidence 72%
HandicapLostHoly Cross +2.51.50Confidence 65%
Winner (incl. OT)WonMerrimackodds up 1.25Confidence 71%
Banker of the day: Double chanceWonMerrimack or drawodds down 1.17Confidence 93%
Draw no betWonMerrimackodds down 1.21Confidence 75%
Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.10Confidence 86%

1st period

1st period 1X2WonMerrimack1.95Confidence 51%
1st period Over/UnderWonO1.5odds up 1.75Confidence 54%

How to read the picks

Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The banker is the day’s best bet at short odds, not its surest result. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.

Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.

Predicted final score

What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.

Merrimack 42

Holy Cross

Final 6–2

Total goalsTotal 6 Actual 8

Draw after 60 minDraw 19% Decided in regulation

MER to winTo win 70% MER won

Score details

Correct scoreLost4–2After 60 min6–24%chance
1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period2–110%chance
Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 1st & 3rd30%chance

Score breakdown

After 60 minutes 4-2
By period 2-0, 0-1, 2-1
Likeliest 4-2 (4%), 3-2 (4%), 4-3 (2%)

Last five games

Merrimack 4-0-1

Overtime loss, 5–6 against Connecticut Huskies, after a shootout, Oct 31. Odds: Merrimack 2.02, UConn 2.75.
Win, 5–4 against Connecticut Huskies, Oct 30. Odds: Merrimack 2.10, UConn 2.65.
Win, 6–3 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Oct 24. Odds: Notre Dame 3.05, Merrimack 1.88.
Win, 2–1 at Notre Dame Fighting Irish, after overtime, Oct 23. Odds: Notre Dame 2.95, Merrimack 1.90.
Win, 8–2 against Minnesota State Mavericks, Oct 17. Odds: Merrimack 1.95, Minnesota State 2.60.

Holy Cross 2-3-0

Loss, 3–4 at Bentley Falcons, Oct 31. Odds: Bentley 1.83, Holy Cross 2.95.
Win, 2–0 against Bentley Falcons, Oct 30. Odds: Holy Cross 2.95, Bentley 1.98.
Loss, 3–4 at Sacred Heart Pioneers, Oct 24. Odds: Sacred Heart 1.83, Holy Cross 3.15.
Win, 3–1 against Sacred Heart Pioneers, Oct 23. Odds: Holy Cross 2.75, Sacred Heart 2.05.
Loss, 1–3 against Army Black Knights, Oct 18.

Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).

How the odds moved

Market	Opening	Now	Move
1X2: 1 (MER)	1.41	1.45	Drifted
1X2: X (draw)	5.00	4.60	Shortened
1X2: 2 (HCC)	5.30	5.00	Shortened
Over/Under line	5.5	5.5	No change
Handicap MER	−1.5	−1.5	No change

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.

NCAA standings

NCAA · Hockey East

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	Boston University Terriers	28	20	0	0	113	2.018
2	Connecticut Huskies	30	18	2	0	98	1.633
3	Massachusetts Lowell	28	15	1	2	74	1.321
4	Northeastern Huskies	29	13	2	0	90	1.552
5	Merrimack Warriors	29	16	4	1	82	1.414
6	Providence Friars	30	13	2	1	92	1.533
7	Maine Black Bears	29	13	1	1	76	1.310
8	Massachusetts Minutemen	27	10	3	0	76	1.407
9	Boston College Eagles	28	10	1	2	75	1.339
10	New Hampshire Wildcats	30	11	3	0	67	1.117
11	Vermont Catamounts	29	9	2	1	56	.966

NCAA · Atlantic Hockey

#	Team	GP	W	L	OTL	Pts	P%
1	RIT Tigers	30	19	3	1	96	1.600
2	Niagara Purple Eagles	30	15	2	0	94	1.567
3	American International	32	14	0	0	105	1.641
4	Sacred Heart Pioneers	30	15	1	1	92	1.533
5	Canisius Golden Griffins	29	12	0	0	75	1.293
6	Army Black Knights	30	11	2	2	81	1.350
7	Holy Cross Crusaders	30	11	1	2	71	1.183
8	Air Force Falcons	32	12	0	0	88	1.375
9	Bentley Falcons	29	9	1	0	69	1.190
10	Mercyhurst Lakers	30	8	5	1	77	1.283

Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.

Merrimack Warriors host Holy Cross Crusaders in the NCAA on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.