Miami vs St. Thomas Tommies prediction
Chance to win · 63% and 19% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2WonMiami (OH)2.05Confidence 60%
- Over/UnderLostO5.5odds up 1.67Confidence 53%
- HandicapLostMiami (OH) -1.52.70Confidence 53%
- Winner (incl. OT)WonMiami (OH)1.65Confidence 67%
- Best tip of the game: Double chanceWonMiami (OH) or draw1.37Confidence 75%
- Draw no betWonMiami (OH)1.62Confidence 73%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostMiami (OH)2.55Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 76%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; an edge above the model’s usual ceiling; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.Score details
- Correct scoreLost5–2After 60 min2–15%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost2–01st period1–110%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goals1st · 2 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 5-2
- By period 2-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 5-2 (5%), 4-2 (4%), 5-1 (3%)
Season so far
This seasonHead-to-head
- Oct 31, 2026: Miami 1, St. Thomas Tommies 4.
Last five games
- Win, 3–2 against Alaska Anchorage, after overtime, Oct 24. Odds: Miami (OH) 1.38, Alaska Anch. 6.00.
- Win, 5–1 against Alaska Anchorage, Oct 23. Odds: Miami (OH) 1.42, Alaska Anch. 5.50.
- Win, 3–2 at Robert Morris, Oct 17. Odds: Robert Morris 3.30, Miami (OH) 1.76.
- Win, 7–1 against Robert Morris, Oct 15. Odds: Miami (OH) 1.62, Robert Morris 3.45.
- Win, 4–1 at Northern Michigan Wildcats, Oct 3.
- Loss, 0–2 at Minnesota State Mavericks, Oct 24. Odds: Minnesota State 2.30, St. Thomas 2.45.
- Loss, 1–3 against Minnesota State Mavericks, Oct 23. Odds: St. Thomas 2.08, Minnesota State 2.70.
- Win, 4–2 against Air Force Falcons, Oct 10. Odds: St. Thomas 1.47, Air Force 5.30.
- Loss, 1–5 against Air Force Falcons, Oct 9.
- Loss, 1–4 at Minnesota State Mavericks, Mar 20.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Miami coming into this game.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for St. Thomas Tommies.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MIA) | 2.08 | 2.08 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.05 | 4.05 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (STT) | 2.65 | 2.65 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MIA | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · NCHC
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 112 | 1.867 | 0 | |
| 2 | 28 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 96 | 1.714 | 0 | |
| 3 | 29 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 121 | 2.086 | 0 | |
| 4 | 28 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 86 | 1.536 | 0 | |
| 5 | 29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 1.793 | 0 | |
| 6 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 72 | 1.241 | 0 | |
| 7 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 68 | 1.214 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
NCAA · CCHA
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 | |
| 2 | 32 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90 | 1.406 | 0 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 101 | 1.683 | 0 | |
| 4 | 29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 75 | 1.293 | 0 | |
| 5 | 30 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 81 | 1.350 | 0 | |
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 1.393 | 0 | |
| 7 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 75 | 1.210 | 0 | |
| 8 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 61 | 1.017 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Miami host St. Thomas Tommies in the NCAA on Friday, October 30, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.