Michigan State Spartans vs Boston University Terriers prediction
Chance to win · 43% and 35% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Full game
- 1X2LostMichigan Stateodds down 1.94Confidence 51%
- Best tip of the game: Over/UnderLostU7.51.25Confidence 77%
- HandicapWonBoston Univ. +2.51.26Confidence 73%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostMichigan Stateodds up 1.52Confidence 56%
- Double chanceLostMichigan State or drawodds down 1.38Confidence 67%
- Draw no betLostMichigan Stateodds down 1.53Confidence 57%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesodds down 1.08Confidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostDrawodds down 2.62Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonU2.5Confidence 78%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Michigan State 3–2
Boston Univ. Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–2After 60 min2–64%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–01st period0–220%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 4 goals30%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-2
- By period 0-0, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-2 (4%), 4-2 (4%), 3-1 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonMichigan State Spartans
Boston University Terriers
Head-to-head
Michigan State 3–0
Boston Univ. - Nov 7, 2026: Michigan State Spartans 5, Boston University Terriers 0.
- Oct 18, 2025: Boston University Terriers 3, Michigan State Spartans 4, after overtime.
- Oct 17, 2025: Boston University Terriers 2, Michigan State Spartans 4.
Last five games
Michigan State
3-2-0 - Win, 5–3 at North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Oct 31. Odds: North Dakota 3.00, Michigan State 1.86.
- Win, 2–1 at New Hampshire Wildcats, Oct 24. Odds: New Hampshire 6.00, Michigan State 1.36.
- Loss, 0–1 at New Hampshire Wildcats, Oct 23. Odds: New Hampshire 5.20, Michigan State 1.44.
- Win, 5–1 at RIT Tigers, Oct 17. Odds: RIT 8.50, Michigan State 1.18.
- Loss, 1–5 against Northern Michigan Wildcats, Oct 11.
Boston Univ.
4-0-1 - Win, 3–2 against Maine Black Bears, after overtime, Oct 31. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.80, Maine 3.05.
- Win, 7–2 against Maine Black Bears, Oct 30. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.98, Maine 2.85.
- Win, 6–3 against Connecticut Huskies, Oct 24. Odds: Boston Univ. 1.88, UConn 3.05.
- Win, 5–4 at Connecticut Huskies, after overtime, Oct 23.
- Overtime loss, 4–5 at Connecticut Huskies, after overtime, Oct 22. Odds: UConn 2.65, Boston Univ. 2.15.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Boston University Terriers coming into this game.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Michigan State Spartans.
- −1.8 goals away — Boston University Terriers averaged 4.8 at home and 3.0 away this season.
- 6.0 goals per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MSS) | 1.78 | 1.85 | Drifted |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.15 | Shortened |
| 1X2: 2 (BUT) | 3.33 | 3.00 | Shortened |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MSS | −1.5 | −1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Big Ten
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minnesota Golden Gophers |
30 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 122 | 2.033 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Wolverines |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 123 | 2.050 | 0 |
| 3 |  Penn State Nittany Lions |
30 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ohio State Buckeyes |
29 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 1.603 | 0 |
| 5 | Michigan State Spartans |
32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 92 | 1.438 | 0 |
| 6 |  Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
30 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 1.133 | 0 |
| 7 |  Wisconsin Badgers |
30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 1.233 | 0 |
NCAA · Hockey East
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston University Terriers |
28 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 2.018 | 0 |
| 2 |  Connecticut Huskies |
30 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 98 | 1.633 | 0 |
| 3 |  Massachusetts Lowell |
28 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 74 | 1.321 | 0 |
| 4 |  Northeastern Huskies |
29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 90 | 1.552 | 0 |
| 5 |  Merrimack Warriors |
29 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 82 | 1.414 | 0 |
| 6 |  Providence Friars |
30 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 92 | 1.533 | 0 |
| 7 |  Maine Black Bears |
29 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 76 | 1.310 | 0 |
| 8 |  Massachusetts Minutemen |
27 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 76 | 1.407 | 0 |
| 9 |  Boston College Eagles |
28 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 75 | 1.339 | 0 |
| 10 |  New Hampshire Wildcats |
30 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 67 | 1.117 | 0 |
| 11 |  Vermont Catamounts |
29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 56 | .966 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Michigan State Spartans host Boston University Terriers in the NCAA on Friday, November 6, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.