Minnesota Golden Gophers vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks prediction
Chance to win · 17% and 66% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Full game
- 1X2LostNorth Dakotaodds down 1.67Confidence 65%
- Over/UnderWonO5.5odds down 1.65Confidence 59%
- HandicapLostNorth Dakota -1.52.07Confidence 61%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostNorth Dakotaodds down 1.40Confidence 72%
- Double chanceLostNorth Dakota or drawodds down 1.23Confidence 78%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betLostNorth Dakotaodds down 1.34Confidence 76%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYes1.08Confidence 84%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostNorth Dakotaodds down 2.20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderLostO1.5odds down 1.78Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: form from only 4 games; no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Minnesota 2–5
North Dakota Score details
- Correct scoreLost2–5After 60 min5–36%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–011%chance
- Highest scoring periodWon3rd periodMost goals3rd · 6 goals31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 2-5
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 1-2
- Likeliest 2-5 (6%), 2-4 (4%), 1-5 (4%)
Season so far
This seasonMinnesota Golden Gophers
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Head-to-head
Minnesota 2–1
North Dakota - Oct 23, 2026: Minnesota Golden Gophers 5, North Dakota Fighting Hawks 3.
- Oct 18, 2025: North Dakota Fighting Hawks 1, Minnesota Golden Gophers 5.
- Oct 17, 2025: North Dakota Fighting Hawks 5, Minnesota Golden Gophers 2.
Last five games
Minnesota
1-4-0 - Win, 3–2 at Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Minn. Duluth 1.64, Minnesota 3.60.
- Loss, 1–7 at Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, Oct 16. Odds: Minn. Duluth 1.83, Minnesota 2.95.
- Loss, 1–3 at Michigan Tech Huskies, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–3 at Michigan Tech Huskies, Oct 3.
- Loss, 2–6 at Penn State Nittany Lions, Mar 11.
North Dakota
4-1-0 - Win, 5–0 against Bentley Falcons, Oct 17. Odds: North Dakota 1.18, Bentley 10.00.
- Win, 5–0 against Bentley Falcons, Oct 16. Odds: North Dakota 1.38, Bentley 5.00.
- Win, 4–3 against Bemidji State Beavers, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 at Bemidji State Beavers, Oct 9. Odds: Bemidji State 7.10, North Dakota 1.31.
- Loss, 1–2 against Wisconsin Badgers, Apr 9.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for North Dakota Fighting Hawks coming into this game.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Minnesota Golden Gophers.
- 1-4-0 in the last five for Minnesota Golden Gophers.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MGG) | 3.90 | 3.90 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.25 | 4.25 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NDF) | 1.62 | 1.62 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MGG | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Big Ten
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Golden Gophers |
30 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 122 | 2.033 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Wolverines |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 123 | 2.050 | 0 |
| 3 |  Penn State Nittany Lions |
30 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ohio State Buckeyes |
29 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 1.603 | 0 |
| 5 |  Michigan State Spartans |
32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 92 | 1.438 | 0 |
| 6 |  Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
30 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 1.133 | 0 |
| 7 |  Wisconsin Badgers |
30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 1.233 | 0 |
NCAA · NCHC
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Denver Pioneers |
30 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 112 | 1.867 | 0 |
| 2 |  St. Cloud State Huskies |
28 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 96 | 1.714 | 0 |
| 3 |  Western Michigan Broncos |
29 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 121 | 2.086 | 0 |
| 4 |  Omaha Mavericks |
28 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 86 | 1.536 | 0 |
| 5 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 1.793 | 0 |
| 6 |  Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs |
29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 72 | 1.241 | 0 |
| 7 |  Colorado College Tigers |
28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 68 | 1.214 | 0 |
| 8 |  Miami Redhawks |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Minnesota Golden Gophers host North Dakota Fighting Hawks in the NCAA on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.