Minnesota Golden Gophers vs North Dakota Fighting Hawks prediction
Chance to win · 25% and 56% in regulation
All predictions
9 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Full game
- 1X2LostNorth Dakota1.70Confidence 57%
- Over/UnderWonO5.51.65Confidence 60%
- HandicapWonMinnesota +1.51.65Confidence 62%
- Winner (incl. OT)LostNorth Dakota1.42Confidence 69%
- Double chanceLostNorth Dakota or draw1.24Confidence 76%
- Best tip of the game: Draw no betLostNorth Dakota1.35Confidence 72%
- Both teams to score (GG/NG)WonYesConfidence 86%
1st period
- 1st period 1X2LostNorth Dakota2.20Confidence 51%
- 1st period Over/UnderWonO1.51.78Confidence 54%
How to read the picks
Confidence is the model’s own score for a pick, out of 100. It is not a probability, but picks with higher confidence have won more often. The score details show the model’s probability instead — they are not picks.
Why some of these picks carry a lower confidence: no record yet for this market in the model’s replay.
Predicted final score
What the picks are derived from. Not a bet.
Minnesota 3–4
North Dakota Score details
- Correct scoreLost3–4After 60 min5–32%chance
- 1st period correct scoreLost0–21st period1–19%chance
- Highest scoring periodLost3rd periodMost goalsTie · 2nd & 3rd31%chance
Score breakdown
- After 60 minutes 3-4
- By period 0-2, 1-1, 2-1
- Likeliest 3-4 (2%), 4-5 (1%), 5-6 (0%)
Season so far
This seasonMinnesota Golden Gophers
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Head-to-head
Minnesota 2–1
North Dakota - Oct 22, 2026: Minnesota Golden Gophers 5, North Dakota Fighting Hawks 3.
- Oct 18, 2025: North Dakota Fighting Hawks 1, Minnesota Golden Gophers 5.
- Oct 17, 2025: North Dakota Fighting Hawks 5, Minnesota Golden Gophers 2.
Last five games
Minnesota
2-3-0 - Win, 5–3 against North Dakota Fighting Hawks, Oct 22. Odds: Minnesota 3.90, North Dakota 1.62.
- Win, 3–2 at Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, after a shootout, Oct 17. Odds: Minn. Duluth 1.64, Minnesota 3.60.
- Loss, 1–7 at Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs, Oct 16. Odds: Minn. Duluth 1.83, Minnesota 2.95.
- Loss, 1–3 at Michigan Tech Huskies, Oct 4.
- Loss, 2–3 at Michigan Tech Huskies, Oct 3.
North Dakota
4-1-0 - Loss, 3–5 at Minnesota Golden Gophers, Oct 22. Odds: Minnesota 3.90, North Dakota 1.62.
- Win, 5–0 against Bentley Falcons, Oct 17. Odds: North Dakota 1.18, Bentley 10.00.
- Win, 5–0 against Bentley Falcons, Oct 16. Odds: North Dakota 1.38, Bentley 5.00.
- Win, 4–3 against Bemidji State Beavers, Oct 10.
- Win, 3–2 at Bemidji State Beavers, Oct 9. Odds: Bemidji State 7.10, North Dakota 1.31.
Each side’s last five, every competition — W a win, L a loss, OT a loss after overtime or a shootout. Beside each team, its goals and its 1X2 odds before puck drop; the odds that came in are lit (none after overtime: the draw).
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Minnesota Golden Gophers and North Dakota Fighting Hawks played yesterday.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Minnesota Golden Gophers.
- 4-1-0 in the last five for North Dakota Fighting Hawks.
- 7.0 goals per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the total is 5.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Opening | Now | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2: 1 (MGG) | 3.75 | 3.75 | No change |
| 1X2: X (draw) | 4.30 | 4.30 | No change |
| 1X2: 2 (NDF) | 1.70 | 1.70 | No change |
| Over/Under line | 5.5 | 5.5 | No change |
| Handicap MGG | +1.5 | +1.5 | No change |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the handicap line is shown from the home team’s side.
NCAA standings
NCAA · Big Ten
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Golden Gophers |
30 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 122 | 2.033 | 0 |
| 2 |  Michigan Wolverines |
30 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 123 | 2.050 | 0 |
| 3 |  Penn State Nittany Lions |
30 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 105 | 1.750 | 0 |
| 4 |  Ohio State Buckeyes |
29 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 93 | 1.603 | 0 |
| 5 |  Michigan State Spartans |
32 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 92 | 1.438 | 0 |
| 6 |  Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
30 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 68 | 1.133 | 0 |
| 7 |  Wisconsin Badgers |
30 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 1.233 | 0 |
NCAA · NCHC
| # | Team | GP | W | L | OTL | Pts | P% | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Denver Pioneers |
30 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 112 | 1.867 | 0 |
| 2 |  St. Cloud State Huskies |
28 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 96 | 1.714 | 0 |
| 3 |  Western Michigan Broncos |
29 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 121 | 2.086 | 0 |
| 4 |  Omaha Mavericks |
28 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 86 | 1.536 | 0 |
| 5 | North Dakota Fighting Hawks |
29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 1.793 | 0 |
| 6 |  Minnesota Duluth Bulldogs |
29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 72 | 1.241 | 0 |
| 7 |  Colorado College Tigers |
28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 68 | 1.214 | 0 |
| 8 |  Miami Redhawks |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0 |
Pts points, on the league’s own system. The table follows the league’s own order. W/L/OTL wins, regulation losses, overtime and shootout losses · GP played · P% points share · +/− difference.
Minnesota Golden Gophers host North Dakota Fighting Hawks in the NCAA on Friday, October 23, 2026. Who wins after 60 minutes, by how many goals, and how many goals in total — our 1X2, handicap and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses projected goals and shots, the starting goalies, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.